NV-SEN(NBC/Marist): Heller+2 (user search)
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  NV-SEN(NBC/Marist): Heller+2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NV-SEN(NBC/Marist): Heller+2  (Read 6729 times)
BudgieForce
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« on: October 09, 2018, 04:08:16 PM »

I really don't see it, especially with pollsters bad history in Nevada.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #1 on: October 09, 2018, 04:10:30 PM »

The crosstabs are pretty funky, including this bit:

But Heller leads by 26 points in Washoe County (Reno), 60 percent to 34 percent.

Small n I know, but still, hard to credit.

How though? Hillary won Washoe county.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #2 on: October 09, 2018, 04:15:23 PM »

I'm calling it now, we have yet another Nevada election that pollsters will bomb. You'd think they'd learn by now.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #3 on: October 09, 2018, 04:22:26 PM »


That's a pretty huge miss on the Senate race. More surprising for a A pollster like Marist.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #4 on: October 09, 2018, 04:36:25 PM »

It's a toss up, let's just agree it's a toss up.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #5 on: October 14, 2018, 10:20:33 AM »

What is worrying is that the Democrats tend to be overstated in polling for midterm elections.

uhmmm

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/nv/nevada_senate_angle_vs_reid-1517.html
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