NV-SEN(NBC/Marist): Heller+2

[2016]

NBC/MARIST POLLS are a big crap no matter if they have Dems or GOP ahead.

[2016]

Heller beat popular Rep. Shelley Berkley in 2012 despite Obama carrying the State. Unlike Joe Heck Heller knows how to do well in a tough Environment.

[2016]

There's obviously House effect built into these polls, due to Kavanaugh bump, but it's subsiding now. In the next week or so, polls will back even

I don't see any subsiding...certainly not in these Senate Races. Your Party is DONE in the Senate. You won't get it.

Trump is campaigning in Nevada next week as well as Arizona & Montana. Ask yourself a Question: Why would Trump campaign in those States if the Races weren't close.

All these Democratic Atlas Hacks told us for months NV & AZ are done for Republicans. That isn't the case at all.

More likely is that we have two entirely different Elections going on Nov. 6th: The Race for the House and the Race for the Senate.

This "Kavanaugh Bump Subsiding" is pretty much wishful thinking on the Democrats part.

I've seen the Trump Rallys over the past week. Thousands of People inside the Venue where he speaks and a good chunk outside watching on big screens and all what these Atlas D's telling us is that these people won't vote at all. Keep going with that craziness.

[2016]

Okay I shouldn't have said Safe D but the chances Heller wins are very low, like 10-15 %.

Don't underestimate him. He got elected in Nevada in 2012 despite the fact that Barack Obama won that state by 7 percentage points over Mitt Romney that same year. So he is able to win tough senate races in Nevada even if it is the only 2018 senate battleground state won by Hillary Clinton in 2016.

He won against a very flawed democratic candidate who was under a criminal investigation and even with that, there was an option that said none of the above, which appears to be what democrats/left leaning independents selected who couldn't morally vote for a corrupt person like Berkley but they couldn't bring themselves to vote for Heller either. Had that option not been there, those dems would have reluctantly backed Berkley and he would have lost. And he got around the same percentage as Mitt Romney, the democrat just did worse then Obama. The whole narrative that he's some great candidate is overblown and misleading

No one said that he is some great Candidate BUT he is an Incumbent Senator and that matters.