FL Southern College: Scott +2

[2016]

I wonder what an impact Hurricane "Michael" will have on this Senate Race. Usually with this kind of Devastation the Governor gets a bump in his Approvals if he responds well to it and Scott has.

[2016]

I wonder what an impact Hurricane "Michael" will have on this Senate Race. Usually with this kind of Devastation the Governor gets a bump in his Approvals if he responds well to it and Scott has.

That depends on how big the hurricane is and how much damage it did, and the particulars of the Governor's media presence and what they did/didn't do.

Most of Florida wasn't affected too much by this. Over in my area (Treasure Coast), it wasn't any different than any number of storms we've had all year. So, if I had to guess, it's not really going to help or hurt Scott. At least outside of the areas of the panhandle that got hit hard, and most of that area is already heavily Republican.

The Problem is: Scott needs those Voters in the Pandandle. They need to come out in the same way they supported Trump 2016.

[2016]

Yea, he does need them. It's hard to see how even a fantastic response to this would super charge turnout though. If anything, it would hurt turnout. And Republicans have maxed out a lot of those areas in recent years, so good marks on the hurricane response won't do too much with the voters that do turn out.

This is all probably a wash. Maybe if the response is seen as exceptional, it could net benefit Gillum because he was on the ground and benefited from the subsequent reduced turnout.

I think Scott still has a chance winning that Race. Q-Pac's Poll having Nelson up 8 or 9 was complete crap.