ND - Cramer +12 (FOX)
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Author Topic: ND - Cramer +12 (FOX)  (Read 10987 times)
IceSpear
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« Reply #150 on: October 07, 2018, 05:15:32 PM »

64% of likely voters approve of Donald Trump? Sounds a little off to me.  


This is North Dakota we're talking about.

Its probably 54% at most in North Dakota.

Donald Trump got 63% in ND. Nationally he got 46%. His approval right now is at 42%. So logically he should be around 59%, +/- a few points. Not unreasonable at all.

Actually he's at 44% if you only look at RV/LV polls (which are the only ones that matter.)

But yeah, a few of our posters seem to have a hard time comprehending this stuff. Math is hard and all. If you just compare his current approval to his vote share it's not hard to ballpark what his current approval in any given state would be. It's not perfect obviously since uniform swing isn't a thing, but it's a lot more reliable than the Bernie Math stuff going around here. "Trump's approval should be lower because that's what my FEELS tell me!"
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