TX Emerson: Cruz +5
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 19, 2024, 12:16:47 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls
  TX Emerson: Cruz +5		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: TX Emerson: Cruz +5  (Read 1582 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 761
Singapore


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 08, 2018, 08:07:37 AM »
Logged
Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,326
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2018, 08:30:55 AM »
Lol Emerson
Logged
TyNY2018
Newbie
*
Posts: 10
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 08, 2018, 08:34:41 AM »
Still a Lean R race.
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2018, 08:37:19 AM »

Margin looks reasonable to me.

I mean it IS Emerson though
Logged
History505
Guest
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 08, 2018, 08:49:07 AM »
Even though it's Emerson, it's a reasonable poll. Last poll had Cruz up at 6 and now this one 5, it is consistent with Cruz being up in the mid-single digits.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,283
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 08, 2018, 08:56:02 AM »
Yes, we all(?) know Cruz is ahead here. Stop polling this race.
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,633
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 08, 2018, 08:57:32 AM »
About the margin I expect this race to end up. Lean R.
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,580
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 08, 2018, 09:08:48 AM »
The margin looks about right.
Logged
Figueira
84285
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,175


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 08, 2018, 12:01:35 PM »
If you knew the margin was going to be this beforehand, why did we need an Emerson poll to prove it? You don't get to selectively believe bad pollsters when they confirm what you already thought was the margin.

Anyway, Cruz is ahead but I don't see any evidence he's doing better than previously.
Logged
Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,812


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 08, 2018, 12:17:12 PM »
Quote from: Figueira on October 08, 2018, 12:01:35 PM
If you knew the margin was going to be this beforehand, why did we need an Emerson poll to prove it?

Wait a minute. Who exactly said we need an Emerson poll? Huh
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,580
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 08, 2018, 12:20:55 PM »
Quote from: Figueira on October 08, 2018, 12:01:35 PM
If you knew the margin was going to be this beforehand, why did we need an Emerson poll to prove it? You don't get to selectively believe bad pollsters when they confirm what you already thought was the margin.

Anyway, Cruz is ahead but I don't see any evidence he's doing better than previously.

No we didn't? No one is saying "Yay Emerson, thanks for polling TX!  Purple heart".
Logged
Figueira
84285
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,175


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 08, 2018, 02:52:43 PM »
But people are calling this a "reasonable poll." If we already knew that this was going to be the margin, then this poll is entirely useless. Especially since if it showed Cruz up 15 or tied with Beto, people would be saying "lol Emerson is trash, next" and ignoring the poll entirely. It's only "reasonable" because it fits your preconceived notions of where this race is.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,471
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 08, 2018, 06:29:47 PM »
Beto had the pre Kavanaugh bump and it has faded, now the race is back to the way it was, a 6 point race
Logged
Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,502
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 08, 2018, 06:33:03 PM »
Quote from: Cory Booker on October 08, 2018, 06:29:47 PM
Beto had the pre Kavanaugh bump and it has faded, now the race is back to the way it was, a 6 point race
If anyone had a bump, it's Cruz. One which will fade away by election day.
Logged
History505
Guest
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 08, 2018, 08:45:55 PM »
Quote from: Figueira on October 08, 2018, 02:52:43 PM
But people are calling this a "reasonable poll." If we already knew that this was going to be the margin, then this poll is entirely useless. Especially since if it showed Cruz up 15 or tied with Beto, people would be saying "lol Emerson is trash, next" and ignoring the poll entirely. It's only "reasonable" because it fits your preconceived notions of where this race is.
That's not the case for me with "preconceived notions", but you have to look at these polls and see where they average up.
Logged
MillennialModerate
MillennialMAModerate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,016
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 09, 2018, 09:21:22 AM »

As a Suffolk grad, I’m MillennialMAModerate and I approve this message!
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,091
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 09, 2018, 10:01:31 AM »
And the herding from s[inks]t pollsters begins
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.223 seconds with 14 queries.