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  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  IN- Donnelly +2 (Fox)
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Author Topic: IN- Donnelly +2 (Fox)  (Read 2134 times)
Predictor
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« on: October 03, 2018, 05:10:47 pm »

Donnelly - 43%
Braun - 41%

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/indiana-poll-document-10-3
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Horus
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« Reply #1 on: October 03, 2018, 05:12:46 pm »

Looks about right.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: October 03, 2018, 05:29:45 pm »

Not bad considering the rest of these polls. Maybe Dems can still salvage a 50-50 split if they're lucky. Nah, they'll probably keep shooting themselves in the foot with a shotgun right up until election day.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #3 on: October 03, 2018, 05:31:56 pm »

tilt r
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #4 on: October 03, 2018, 05:34:26 pm »

The libertarian percentage is unrealistic. At least half of those voters will come home to Braun.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: October 03, 2018, 05:36:23 pm »

The libertarian percentage is unrealistic. At least half of those voters will come home to Braun.

Libertarians always get a relatively high percentage of the vote in Indiana actually. They got 5-6% of the vote in 2010, 2012, and 2016.
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new_patomic
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« Reply #6 on: October 03, 2018, 05:45:36 pm »

43 to 41 in late September/early October seems weird to me.

Donnelly being at 43 is either devastating, or him being up 2 is fantastic, not sure.
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Skye
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« Reply #7 on: October 03, 2018, 05:48:11 pm »

Libertarian Lucy Brenton is polling at 6%.

I'd be nervous if I were Donelly, constantly polling in the 40's in IN, but he has been getting a few leads and the last Fox poll actually had Braun leading, so he could be worse. It's still a Tossup.
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Predictor
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« Reply #8 on: October 03, 2018, 06:24:31 pm »

Important point from this poll is that slightly over 30% of voters say they'd be less likely to support him if he votes no on Kavanaugh.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #9 on: October 03, 2018, 06:25:47 pm »

Important point from this poll is that slightly over 30% of voters say they'd be less likely to support him if he votes no on Kavanaugh.

Again, I might ask, how many of those 30% aren't just loyal Republicans who are just saying that because they like Kavanuagh?
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Cosmopolitanism Will Win
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« Reply #10 on: October 03, 2018, 06:27:33 pm »

Important point from this poll is that slightly over 30% of voters say they'd be less likely to support him if he votes no on Kavanaugh.

More/less likely polls are meaningless.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #11 on: October 03, 2018, 07:05:55 pm »

This will go down to the wire. Tossup. Honestly, I'll take it. I used to think that Donnelly was the most endangered Democratic incumbent, now that looks like it will be Menendez Heitkamp.
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Xing
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« Reply #12 on: October 03, 2018, 07:08:14 pm »

This one's going to be close, but Donnelly perhaps has a very slight edge.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #13 on: October 03, 2018, 07:10:26 pm »

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Indiana,_2012#Polling_2

Donnelly didn't start taking the lead until late October, so for him to have led in most of these post-Labor Day polls is good news for him.

Tossup, of course.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #14 on: October 03, 2018, 08:29:35 pm »

THANK GOD! A good poll!
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #15 on: October 03, 2018, 08:35:10 pm »
« Edited: October 03, 2018, 08:59:35 pm by RussFeingoldWasRobbedk »

Perhaps ND is an outlier and Heitkamp is 2018s Tom Corbett?
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #16 on: October 03, 2018, 09:09:42 pm »

Perhaps ND is an outlier and Heitkamp is 2018s Tom Corbett?
Uh, Tom Corbett LOST.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #17 on: October 03, 2018, 09:12:17 pm »

That's my point. Heidi Heitkamp appears headed to a double digit loss even though it appears like it will be a good year for democrats and it appears she's the only one that will lose.
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President Pericles
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« Reply #18 on: October 03, 2018, 09:14:41 pm »

Too many undecideds, but the margin seems plausible enough.
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MycroftCZ
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« Reply #19 on: October 03, 2018, 11:08:41 pm »

I'm happily surprised that Donnelly has been able to hold on here... seems like all those RV ads really helped him.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #20 on: October 03, 2018, 11:47:09 pm »

https://twitter.com/jmartNYT/status/1047641934737690624
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Hollywood
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« Reply #21 on: October 04, 2018, 12:03:27 am »

Republicans will win this race.  Democrats botched it.  You guys had it.  The myriad of ways Democrats lose elections never surprises me. 
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VirginiŠ
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« Reply #22 on: October 04, 2018, 12:08:51 am »

Republicans will win this race.  Democrats botched it.  You guys had it.  The myriad of ways Democrats lose elections never surprises me. 

lol you are just moving from thread to thread and saying "Republicans will win" because [reasons]

You should just create a thread and list all your predictions. You would save time.
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #23 on: October 04, 2018, 02:09:04 am »

Republicans will win this race.  Democrats botched it.  You guys had it.  The myriad of ways Democrats lose elections never surprises me.  

lol you are just moving from thread to thread and saying "Republicans will win" because [reasons]

You should just create a thread and list all your predictions. You would save time.

Yes.  That is basic writing.  I understand Democrats are unable to comprehend reasoning and rational prose.  Here's how you write.  I believe... (blank), because of... (reasons) including 1), 2), 3) and 4).  Here's where the credibility part comes.  My beliefs are supported by "evidence" that corroborate my claims and tie-in with the things I'm saying.  Here are some examples.  

Now you can go out and be successful.  Maybe you'll achieve the title of "mediocre white man".  You did say those words, right?  "Mediocre white man"?  

Oh youíre gonna be fun on here arenít you Wink
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #24 on: October 04, 2018, 05:31:46 am »

These Fox polls seem too optimistic for Republicans, so I wouldn't be surprised if Donnelly is actually ahead by 4-5 points.
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