TN- Blackburn +5 (Fox)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 08:05:58 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls
  TN- Blackburn +5 (Fox)
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: TN- Blackburn +5 (Fox)  (Read 9348 times)
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 03, 2018, 05:08:08 PM »

Blackburn - 48%
Bredesen - 43%

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/tennessee-poll-document-10-3
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 03, 2018, 05:10:40 PM »

Nice!
Logged
Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,761


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 03, 2018, 05:12:10 PM »

It was too good to last, all those Bredesen leads.
Logged
Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,198
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 03, 2018, 05:27:40 PM »

Blackburn lead in the last fox poll and then the CNN Bredesen 5+ came out. So toss-up ——> toss-up
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 03, 2018, 05:31:11 PM »

Stick a fork in Bredesen, and get ready for Majority Leader Turtle for another 2 years at least.
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 03, 2018, 05:39:07 PM »

Blackburn lead in the last fox poll and then the CNN Bredesen 5+ came out. So toss-up ——> toss-up

That CNN one came out around the same time as the last FOX poll in September. Blackburn's gone up by two points since then.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,960
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 03, 2018, 05:40:07 PM »

Yeah, Blackburn has this.
Logged
Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,856
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 03, 2018, 05:46:20 PM »

Stick a fork in Bredesen, and get ready for Majority Leader Turtle for another 2 years at least.

Once RCP adds this, their average will probably go up one or two points, and it's tied right now. It's hardly the end for Bredesen, although it could end up that way I suppose.

Current polling looks like a 50-50 senate, with Democrats winning 2 new seats but losing 1. That's not too bad, all things considered. Winning the Senate was always going to be a really tough goal.
Logged
bilaps
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,789
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 03, 2018, 05:47:00 PM »

Never really doubted that TN will go R this time. NV and AZ are only realistic pickups for Dems.

But with ND going from Heitkamp, it pretty much seals senate for Republicans
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 03, 2018, 05:47:45 PM »

Stick a fork in Bredesen, and get ready for Majority Leader Turtle for another 2 years at least.
Wasn't this his prediction like every month since Bredesen entered?
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,761
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 03, 2018, 05:47:51 PM »

With Bredesen's Alan J.Dixon response to the Kavanaugh nomination and says he won't support Schumer as Leader may have cost him this race.
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,579
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 03, 2018, 05:48:46 PM »

Can I move this to Lean R now?
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 03, 2018, 05:50:57 PM »

This is about the same as their last poll a month ago.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 03, 2018, 05:52:03 PM »

This is about the same as their last poll a month ago.
...and the Atlas panic continues. Every time Bredesen isn't ahead this becomes Safe R, and when he's ahead, it's a tossup.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 03, 2018, 05:52:28 PM »

Stick a fork in Bredesen, and get ready for Majority Leader Turtle for another 2 years at least.
Wasn't this his prediction like every month since Bredesen entered?

Yes...and it was accurate.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 03, 2018, 05:53:33 PM »

Stick a fork in Bredesen, and get ready for Majority Leader Turtle for another 2 years at least.
Wasn't this his prediction like every month since Bredesen entered?

Yes...and it was accurate.
Until the next Bredesen +2 poll came out.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,740


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 03, 2018, 06:19:05 PM »

I'm not sure how any rational person could say this is anything but a tossup. We literally just got a CNN poll last week with Bredesen +5, and a Marist before that at Bredesen +2. And Vox Populi.

If I'm remembering correctly, Fox News is the only high quality pollster to have Blackburn up.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,761
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 03, 2018, 06:23:24 PM »

This is about the same as their last poll a month ago.
...and the Atlas panic continues. Every time Bredesen isn't ahead this becomes Safe R, and when he's ahead, it's a tossup.

Bredesen said that he would not support Schumer as Leader
Logged
Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,856
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 03, 2018, 06:25:12 PM »

I'm not sure how any rational person could say this is anything but a tossup. We literally just got a CNN poll last week with Bredesen +5, and a Marist before that at Bredesen +2. And Vox Populi.

If I'm remembering correctly, Fox News is the only high quality pollster to have Blackburn up.

The gist is that some users consider Tennessee to be so Republican-leaning that anything short of consistent, mid-high single digit (or better) leads for Bredesen in every poll, means Blackburn will win just by nature of TN reverting to its natural hyper-Republican state.
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 03, 2018, 06:46:09 PM »

If you really believe Trump is at 60% approval among Tennessee voters...
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 03, 2018, 06:52:09 PM »

If you really believe Trump is at 60% approval among Tennessee voters...

Do you believe any poll that is positive for Republicans? Just curious.

Trump got 46% of the vote overall and 61% in Tennessee in 2016. He's now sitting at 44% approval nationally. So no, that number is not at all unreasonable.
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 03, 2018, 06:57:57 PM »

If you really believe Trump is at 60% approval among Tennessee voters...

Do you believe any poll that is positive for Republicans? Just curious.

Trump got 46% of the vote overall and 61% in Tennessee in 2016. He's now sitting at 44% approval nationally. So no, that number is not at all unreasonable.
Trump's favorability rating wasn't even close 60% in Tennessee on election day, so, no, the number is not reasonable.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 03, 2018, 07:04:10 PM »

If you really believe Trump is at 60% approval among Tennessee voters...

Do you believe any poll that is positive for Republicans? Just curious.

Trump got 46% of the vote overall and 61% in Tennessee in 2016. He's now sitting at 44% approval nationally. So no, that number is not at all unreasonable.
Trump's favorability rating wasn't even close 60% in Tennessee on election day, so, no, the number is not reasonable.

So then where is his current 44% approval rating coming from? A surge in California and going up to 100% approval in Oklahoma?
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 03, 2018, 07:09:53 PM »

If you really believe Trump is at 60% approval among Tennessee voters...

Do you believe any poll that is positive for Republicans? Just curious.

Trump got 46% of the vote overall and 61% in Tennessee in 2016. He's now sitting at 44% approval nationally. So no, that number is not at all unreasonable.
Trump's favorability rating wasn't even close 60% in Tennessee on election day, so, no, the number is not reasonable.

So then where is his current 44% approval rating coming from? A surge in California and going up to 100% approval in Oklahoma?
Two polls have come out posting his approval at 37 and 41. His approval is TN is probably more like 55.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,547
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 03, 2018, 07:10:28 PM »

I wasn't getting my hopes up, but still: BOO!
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.057 seconds with 13 queries.