Comments regarding the Kavanaugh nomination (thread 2)

[Dwarven Dragon]

MURKOWSKI VOTED NO

[2016]

Murkowski voted NO....

Flake, Collins, Manchin YES.

[JGibson]

Please note that a AYE in cloture doesn't necessarily mean a AYE in the final vote.

[Citizen (The) Doctor]

Can a VP override a vote on cloture?

[Pyro]

Murkowski is a no on cloture

How likely is it that this will be her final vote as well?

[Sir Mohamed]

Can a VP override a vote on cloture?

He can only break a 50-50 tie.

[Dwarven Dragon]

51-49

[2016]

Please note that a AYE in cloture doesn't necessarily mean a AYE in the final vote.

We will know this afternoon when Collins gives her Floor Speech? If she votes NO then Kavernaughs fate will sit with Manchin, Flake.

[pppolitics]

Please note that a AYE in cloture doesn't necessarily mean a AYE in the final vote.

We will know this afternoon when Collins gives her Floor Speech? If she votes NO then Kavernaughs fate will sit with Manchin, Flake.

3 P.M. ET

[Dwarven Dragon]

30 hours to the final vote: 4:53 PM ET Saturday

[john cage bubblegum]

Murkowski is a no on cloture

How likely is it that this will be her final vote as well?

Almost certainly.  Occasionally, you'll see a Senator vote Yes on cloture so that there's debate and a final vote, and then vote No on the final bill/nominee.  However, if a Senator doesn't even want to advance the nominee/bill, then they're pretty much always voting No again in the final vote.

[Yank2133]

No surprise about Murkowski.

Sexual assault is a big problem in Native American communities in Alaska and they saved her ass after she got primiared in 2010.

[Dwarven Dragon]

McConnell talking with various republicans.

Manchin will have a statement at some point today regarding how he'll vote tomorrow.

[2016]

CNN's Political Director David Chalian doesn't think Collins, Flake will vote NO tomorrow after okaying the FBI Investigation yesterday.

He also thinks Manchin is a YES given what he says numerous times that he would decide what the people of WV want.

[GeorgiaModerate]

No surprise about Murkowski.

Sexual assault is a big problem in Native American communities in Alaska and they saved her ass after she got primiared in 2010.

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1048225287731916800

[pppolitics]

If Collins vote Yes, she might as well announce her retirement.

[UncleSam]

If Collins vote Yes, she might as well announce her retirement.

But if Heitkamp votes no she was going to lose all along right

[หมูเด้ง]

Manchin votes AYE

Should be kicked in the shin

So, unless there is Monkey Business, its going to be 49-50 tomorrow. I can see that Collins agrees to vote Aye, but then Manchin turns his vote to NO and Pence can't can't break the tie.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Manchin votes AYE

Should be kicked in the shin

So, unless there is Monkey Business, its going to be 49-50 tomorrow. I can see that Collins agrees to vote Aye, but then Manchin turns his vote to NO and Pence can't can't break the tie.

What? How?

[Dwarven Dragon]

Manchin votes AYE

Should be kicked in the shin

So, unless there is Monkey Business, its going to be 49-50 tomorrow. I can see that Collins agrees to vote Aye, but then Manchin turns his vote to NO and Pence can't can't break the tie.

Manchin votes AYE

Should be kicked in the shin

So, unless there is Monkey Business, its going to be 49-50 tomorrow. I can see that Collins agrees to vote Aye, but then Manchin turns his vote to NO and Pence can't can't break the tie.

What? How?

McConnell can and will hold the vote open if needed tomorrow. If the Senate needs to spend 6 or 8 hours voting to wait for Daines, it'll do just that.

[หมูเด้ง]

Manchin votes AYE

Should be kicked in the shin

So, unless there is Monkey Business, its going to be 49-50 tomorrow. I can see that Collins agrees to vote Aye, but then Manchin turns his vote to NO and Pence can't can't break the tie.

What? How?

Daines has a wedding he insists that he goes to.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I can't see Manchin allowing himself to be the deciding vote in favor of confirmation if Murkowski and Collins both vote no.  So he'll vote the same way as Collins, and those two votes will decide the outcome.

[2016]

If Collins vote Yes, she might as well announce her retirement.

Which leads me to believe that Kavernaughs fate will be decided by Flake, Manchin.

Flake already said last week he'll vote yes. Now he voted YES to proceed. I don't think there is any wriggle room for him here.

I predicted Flake, Manchin will vote YES on the Final Vote; The two Women will vote NO. Daines has to come back to cast his vote and Pence breaks the Tie.

[Silent Hunter]

Daines has a wedding he insists that he goes to.

Yes, his daughter would be a bit mad if he missed it.

[kelestian]

If Collins vote Yes, she might as well announce her retirement.

Which leads me to believe that Kavernaughs fate will be decided by Flake, Manchin.

Flake already said last week he'll vote yes. Now he voted YES to proceed. I don't think there is any wriggle room for him here.

I predicted Flake, Manchin will vote YES on the Final Vote; The two Women will vote NO. Daines has to come back to cast his vote and Pence breaks the Tie.

Collins would has voted NAY on cloture in this case. She voted NAYs both times during Obamacare repeal.