Yes! and a rather inept candidate will probably defeat the Republican in IL-06.
I think DuPage goes to Rauner by a thin margin. It is just too Republican down ballot. However Pritzkers leads in Lake and Will counties will be hysterical.
IL-14 is off the radar but its vulnerable now for the GOP.
Illinois Republicans have arguably had it really easy during the Obama years. They did really well in the state House/Senate and Congressional popular vote shares, almost winning the state house PV in 2014 and keeping it within single digits for the rest of the years (including 2012 and 2016). But I'd be willing to bet the Democratic vote share for legislative races will begin to realign with presidential numbers, at least statewide. That means results more like 2008 (D+17.5) rather than 2016 (D+7.9). Probably more actual seats too, considering what the map looks like right now.
Exactly! Illinois is in the midwest so is obviously sensitive to waves and the GOP overperformed in 2010 and 2014 there. But the did win those races.. the Democrats failed at them.
Also downstate Illinois is not near as Republican as outstate Missouri. Just cross the Misssisippi River you see a lot more support for Democrats on the Illinois boonies than the Missouri boonies.
In 2018 you have anti Trump trends in the suburbs and downstate behaving more like the upper midwest than the south causing these Democratic landslides.
It also says something that both Il-Treasurer and Il-Comptroller have been ranked by
RRH as solid Democratic. They were hard fought in 2014 and barely won by Democrats in 2016 special election.
