TN NBC/SurveyMonkey: Tie (user search)
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  TN NBC/SurveyMonkey: Tie (search mode)
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Author Topic: TN NBC/SurveyMonkey: Tie  (Read 1009 times)
ElectionsGuy
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Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« on: October 02, 2018, 06:55:31 AM »

That's a whole lot of undecideds a month out. Still, not good for Bredesen if he ultimately wants to win.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #1 on: October 02, 2018, 07:07:54 AM »

That's a whole lot of undecideds a month out. Still, not good for Bredesen if he ultimately wants to win.

You could argue the same for Blackburn. This is a Trump +26 state where his approval is only +7, and she can barely consolidate 42% of the R-leaning electorate right now.

Which means that toward the end they will break for Blackburn. Count on it. In order for Democrats to win in deep red states, they need to be pushing very close to 50 and tied if not a little ahead. We've seen this before with Kansas and Georgia in 2014. Democrats leading in polls but on election day lose anywhere from 3-10 points.
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