Just because the polls underestimated Heitkamp in 2012 doesn’t mean they will underestimate her again this year. And the difference between 2012 and 2018 is that there were actually polls showing Heitkamp up in 2012. There hasn’t been one this year since February (and that was from Gravis and had 17% undecideds), and apparently private polling has been pretty ugly for Democrats here. The ND GOP is also much more competent than MO GOP/MT GOP/etc., and Cramer isn’t as "weak" as this forum is making him out to be.
I guess Cramer must be running a very #populist campaign compared to those other candidates!
But yeah, Heitkamp is in bad shape, polling in the low 40's. Another thing is that Cramer has been a statewide elected official since 2012, as their only house rep, resulting in him getting more exposure than say, the Montana state auditor or something.
