ND: SRA Research- Cramer +10

[MT Treasurer]

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But I thought the Kavanaugh controversy/Cramer's "gaffe" were going to spell doom for him? Cramer +10 is definitely hard to believe (especially if Tester is ahead by 4), but anyone who believes Cramer is the next Akin doesn’t know what they’re talking about.

Edit: Oh, this was taken before Cramer's comments. Still, not a good poll for her by any means.

[MT Treasurer]

Just because the polls underestimated Heitkamp in 2012 doesn’t mean they will underestimate her again this year. And the difference between 2012 and 2018 is that there were actually polls showing Heitkamp up in 2012. There hasn’t been one this year since February (and that was from Gravis and had 17% undecideds), and apparently private polling has been pretty ugly for Democrats here. The ND GOP is also much more competent than MO GOP/MT GOP/etc., and Cramer isn’t as "weak" as this forum is making him out to be.

[MT Treasurer]

ND is pretty solidly more to the right than Montana.

Heitkamp isn’t going to do 15-17 points worse than Tester, lol. Most likely this poll is inflating Cramer's lead. Cramer +4/5 and Tester +3/4 sounds more believable.