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  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  ND: SRA Research- Cramer +10
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Author Topic: ND: SRA Research- Cramer +10  (Read 3554 times)
Strong Candidate
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« on: October 01, 2018, 06:31:24 pm »

https://www.kfyrtv.com/content/news/SRA-Poll-shows-ND-Senate-race-numbers-reaction-to-Supreme-Court-nominee-Brett-Kavanaugh-case-494849131.html

Kevin Cramer (R)-51
Heidi Heitkamp (D)-41
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#Klobmentum
superbudgie1582
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« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2018, 06:32:24 pm »

Who?
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Biden +3 in Texas
dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2018, 06:33:05 pm »

Oh please lol
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Biden +3 in Texas
dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #3 on: October 01, 2018, 06:35:41 pm »

There was a poll in October 2012 that found Berg with a 10 point lead too, interesting
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #4 on: October 01, 2018, 06:36:47 pm »

This poll is obviously garbage
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #5 on: October 01, 2018, 06:36:50 pm »

Heitkamp needs to Todd Akin him, hard.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #6 on: October 01, 2018, 06:37:06 pm »

Cramer ahead is believable. Cramer ahead by double digits? Not so much.
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#Klobmentum
superbudgie1582
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« Reply #7 on: October 01, 2018, 06:37:33 pm »

There was a poll in October 2012 that found Berg with a 10 point lead too, interesting

Hopefully Heidi has a new newspaper to hold up when she wins.
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Bipartisan Bills or Bust
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« Reply #8 on: October 01, 2018, 06:39:02 pm »
« Edited: October 01, 2018, 06:42:44 pm by MT Treasurer »

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But I thought the Kavanaugh controversy/Cramer's "gaffe" were going to spell doom for him? Cramer +10 is definitely hard to believe (especially if Tester is ahead by 4), but anyone who believes Cramer is the next Akin doesnít know what theyíre talking about.

Edit: Oh, this was taken before Cramer's comments. Still, not a good poll for her by any means.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #9 on: October 01, 2018, 06:41:56 pm »

Seems to be a real firm, though I don't believe they have ever released a public poll of a race, so they have absolutely no record.
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Xing
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« Reply #10 on: October 01, 2018, 06:44:04 pm »

Definitely seems tough to believe, but I'll certainly buy Heitkamp being in trouble. It would be pretty funny if she ended up winning by 1 again, after a poll showed her down 10.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #11 on: October 01, 2018, 06:45:02 pm »

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But I thought the Kavanaugh controversy/Cramer's "gaffe" were going to spell doom for him? Cramer +10 is definitely hard to believe (especially if Tester is ahead by 4), but anyone who believes Cramer is the next Akin doesnít know what theyíre talking about.

Edit: Oh, this was taken before Cramer's comments. Still, not a good poll for her by any means.

Wait it was taken that long ago? Was their WV during a similar date range?
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Strong Candidate
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« Reply #12 on: October 01, 2018, 06:45:31 pm »

Seems to be a real firm, though I don't believe they have ever released a public poll of a race, so they have absolutely no record.

They just released the Manchin +8 poll.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #13 on: October 01, 2018, 06:45:37 pm »


As I've said for a while now, North Dakota strongly backs Kavanaugh and a majority of North Dakota voters likely agree with Cramer's comments. If Heitkamp wants to lose, focusing on Cramer's "Akin comments" should certainly be her strategy.

Dems really overplayed their hand and shot themselves in the foot with the Kavanaugh situation, at least in regards to their deep red state Senate incumbents.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #14 on: October 01, 2018, 06:46:53 pm »


As I've said for a while now, North Dakota strongly backs Kavanaugh and a majority of North Dakota voters likely agree with Cramer's comments. If Heitkamp wants to lose, focusing on Cramer's "Akin comments" should certainly be her strategy.

Dems really overplayed their hand and shot themselves in the foot with the Kavanaugh situation, at least in regards to their deep red state Senate incumbents.

I mean she hasnít leaned into the Cramer stuff as hard as one thought she might after he made the comments.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #15 on: October 01, 2018, 06:47:39 pm »
« Edited: October 01, 2018, 06:50:42 pm by Ebsy »

Seems to be a real firm, though I don't believe they have ever released a public poll of a race, so they have absolutely no record.

They just released the Manchin +8 poll.

Interesting. Seems they are expanding their business to TV stations. I wonder who owns these two stations.

Edit: Seems like both are owned by Gray Television,
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#Klobmentum
superbudgie1582
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« Reply #16 on: October 01, 2018, 06:51:17 pm »

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But I thought the Kavanaugh controversy/Cramer's "gaffe" were going to spell doom for him? Cramer +10 is definitely hard to believe (especially if Tester is ahead by 4), but anyone who believes Cramer is the next Akin doesnít know what theyíre talking about.

Edit: Oh, this was taken before Cramer's comments. Still, not a good poll for her by any means.

Wait it was taken that long ago? Was their WV during a similar date range?

The West Virginia poll released today was done between 9/17 through 9/26.

http://media.graytvinc.com/documents/September+Survey.pdf
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KingSweden
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« Reply #17 on: October 01, 2018, 06:58:07 pm »

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But I thought the Kavanaugh controversy/Cramer's "gaffe" were going to spell doom for him? Cramer +10 is definitely hard to believe (especially if Tester is ahead by 4), but anyone who believes Cramer is the next Akin doesnít know what theyíre talking about.

Edit: Oh, this was taken before Cramer's comments. Still, not a good poll for her by any means.

Wait it was taken that long ago? Was their WV during a similar date range?

The West Virginia poll released today was done between 9/17 through 9/26.

http://media.graytvinc.com/documents/September+Survey.pdf

I feel like that doesnít tell us much... unless Kavanagh hearings didnít move the needle much in either direction (which would not surprise me)
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IceSpear
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« Reply #18 on: October 01, 2018, 06:58:16 pm »


As I've said for a while now, North Dakota strongly backs Kavanaugh and a majority of North Dakota voters likely agree with Cramer's comments. If Heitkamp wants to lose, focusing on Cramer's "Akin comments" should certainly be her strategy.

Dems really overplayed their hand and shot themselves in the foot with the Kavanaugh situation, at least in regards to their deep red state Senate incumbents.

I mean she hasnít leaned into the Cramer stuff as hard as one thought she might after he made the comments.

Because unlike this forum and Twitter users from California she realizes it would backfire. Looks like the Dems overplaying their hand with Kavanaugh has already blown up in her face and could very well cost them their chance at the Senate. Brilliant strategery. Between that and them backing corrupt clown Menendez....Dems are so bad at politics it makes me wince sometimes.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #19 on: October 01, 2018, 06:59:16 pm »

Totally never heard of this pollster before
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#PACK THE COURTS
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« Reply #20 on: October 01, 2018, 07:05:35 pm »


As I've said for a while now, North Dakota strongly backs Kavanaugh and a majority of North Dakota voters likely agree with Cramer's comments. If Heitkamp wants to lose, focusing on Cramer's "Akin comments" should certainly be her strategy.

Dems really overplayed their hand and shot themselves in the foot with the Kavanaugh situation, at least in regards to their deep red state Senate incumbents.

I mean she hasnít leaned into the Cramer stuff as hard as one thought she might after he made the comments.

Because unlike this forum and Twitter users from California she realizes it would backfire. Looks like the Dems overplaying their hand with Kavanaugh has already blown up in her face and could very well cost them their chance at the Senate. Brilliant strategery. Between that and them backing corrupt clown Menendez....Dems are so bad at politics it makes me wince sometimes.

Democrats are not overplaying their hands with Kananaugh, and the situation is going to result in massive pain for Republicans across the nation, in both R leaning areas, and in D leaning areas, and Icespear concern trolling on the topic is irrelevant to reality.
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superbudgie1582
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« Reply #21 on: October 01, 2018, 07:06:37 pm »


As I've said for a while now, North Dakota strongly backs Kavanaugh and a majority of North Dakota voters likely agree with Cramer's comments. If Heitkamp wants to lose, focusing on Cramer's "Akin comments" should certainly be her strategy.

Dems really overplayed their hand and shot themselves in the foot with the Kavanaugh situation, at least in regards to their deep red state Senate incumbents.

I mean she hasnít leaned into the Cramer stuff as hard as one thought she might after he made the comments.

Because unlike this forum and Twitter users from California she realizes it would backfire. Looks like the Dems overplaying their hand with Kavanaugh has already blown up in her face and could very well cost them their chance at the Senate. Brilliant strategery. Between that and them backing corrupt clown Menendez....Dems are so bad at politics it makes me wince sometimes.

You get an inch and you take a mile.

By the looks of it, this poll was taken entirely before the hearings and Cramer's comments. While they might not make much of impact, I think its far too soon to say its blown up in anybodies faces yet.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #22 on: October 01, 2018, 07:06:51 pm »

Wow, Berg +10. It's over for Heitkamp.
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Bipartisan Bills or Bust
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« Reply #23 on: October 01, 2018, 07:08:10 pm »

Just because the polls underestimated Heitkamp in 2012 doesnít mean they will underestimate her again this year. And the difference between 2012 and 2018 is that there were actually polls showing Heitkamp up in 2012. There hasnít been one this year since February (and that was from Gravis and had 17% undecideds), and apparently private polling has been pretty ugly for Democrats here. The ND GOP is also much more competent than MO GOP/MT GOP/etc., and Cramer isnít as "weak" as this forum is making him out to be.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #24 on: October 01, 2018, 07:08:59 pm »


As I've said for a while now, North Dakota strongly backs Kavanaugh and a majority of North Dakota voters likely agree with Cramer's comments. If Heitkamp wants to lose, focusing on Cramer's "Akin comments" should certainly be her strategy.

Dems really overplayed their hand and shot themselves in the foot with the Kavanaugh situation, at least in regards to their deep red state Senate incumbents.

I mean she hasnít leaned into the Cramer stuff as hard as one thought she might after he made the comments.

Because unlike this forum and Twitter users from California she realizes it would backfire. Looks like the Dems overplaying their hand with Kavanaugh has already blown up in her face and could very well cost them their chance at the Senate. Brilliant strategery. Between that and them backing corrupt clown Menendez....Dems are so bad at politics it makes me wince sometimes.

Democrats are not overplaying their hands with Kananaugh, and the situation is going to result in massive pain for Republicans across the nation, in both R leaning areas, and in D leaning areas, and Icespear concern trolling on the topic is irrelevant to reality.

I realize you're Solid, but surely even you can't be delusional enough to think North Dakota opposes Kavanaugh, right? Not everyone is a left wing Chelsea Manning supporter living in Maryland you know. This is rock solid Trump country we're talking about here.
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