CNN-NV-Rosen +4
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Author Topic: CNN-NV-Rosen +4  (Read 2715 times)
Gass3268
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« on: October 01, 2018, 03:03:02 PM »

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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2018, 03:04:20 PM »

Great!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2018, 03:04:48 PM »

Another day, another poll with Dean Heller in the low 40s.

But Atlas told me that Heller was going to win because muh Reuters poll.
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xingkerui
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« Reply #3 on: October 01, 2018, 03:05:49 PM »

B-b-b-but I thought Heller would win in the upset of a century because Rosen is a horrible candidate!

Anyway, RIP Heller. Pretty good poll for McCaskill as well, but it seems like every MO poll is within 3% for either candidate, so it's definitely a Toss-Up.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4 on: October 01, 2018, 03:05:54 PM »

Another day, another poll with Dean Heller in the low 40s.

But Atlas told me that Heller was going to win because muh Reuters poll.

Triggering gif imminent.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #5 on: October 01, 2018, 03:07:12 PM »

Republicans are more likely to win MT and WV than NV. Likely D.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #6 on: October 01, 2018, 03:07:17 PM »

Freedom Poll
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« Reply #7 on: October 01, 2018, 03:08:55 PM »

Republicans are more likely to win MT and WV than NV. Likely D.

Nobody here thinks that is not the case. Only the 538 Senate forecast is dumb enough to believe that.
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xingkerui
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« Reply #8 on: October 01, 2018, 03:09:14 PM »

Republicans are more likely to win MT and WV than NV. Likely D.

You mean they'd sooner win in a Trump +20 and a Trump +42 state than a Clinton +2 state? I dunno man, I think candidate quality is more important than that stuff.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #9 on: October 01, 2018, 03:16:51 PM »

Republicans are more likely to win MT and WV than NV. Likely D.

You mean they'd sooner win in a Trump +20 and a Trump +42 state than a Clinton +2 state? I dunno man, I think candidate quality is more important than that stuff.

You see, I certainly don’t shy away from making #bold predictions.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #10 on: October 01, 2018, 03:22:45 PM »

Where is the link to the poll?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: October 01, 2018, 03:22:59 PM »

Republicans are more likely to win MT and WV than NV. Likely D.

Nobody here thinks that is not the case. Only the 538 Senate forecast is dumb enough to believe that.

There are multiple people here that think Heller will win or that Rosen will only win by <1 point. And as far as I can tell these people don't think there will be a Republican wave.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #12 on: October 01, 2018, 03:26:20 PM »


http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2018/images/10/01/rel1_nv.pdf
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« Reply #13 on: October 01, 2018, 03:26:40 PM »

There are multiple people here that think Heller will win or that Rosen will only win by <1 point. And as far as I can tell these people don't think there will be a Republican wave.

Who honestly believes that?
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #14 on: October 01, 2018, 03:29:45 PM »

There are multiple people here that think Heller will win or that Rosen will only win by <1 point. And as far as I can tell these people don't think there will be a Republican wave.

Who honestly believes that?

There was at least one that said Heller might scrap through because "ROSEN IS RUNNING A BAD CAMPAIGN"

Rosen- I’m becoming more and more convinced that Heller will scrap through.

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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #15 on: October 01, 2018, 03:32:26 PM »

Heller is certainly an underdog but the hysteria that he's 100% certain to lose is nonsensical. He still has a chance, polls aren't everything.
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xingkerui
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« Reply #16 on: October 01, 2018, 03:34:28 PM »

There are multiple people here that think Heller will win or that Rosen will only win by <1 point. And as far as I can tell these people don't think there will be a Republican wave.

Who honestly believes that?

Plenty of people in the threads about weak Democratic candidates and "races we're all getting wrong" threads are predicting that Heller will win. They can predict that if they want, but the evidence is clearly not in their favor, lol.
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« Reply #17 on: October 01, 2018, 03:35:48 PM »

Republicans are more likely to win MT and WV than NV. Likely D.

Nobody here thinks that is not the case. Only the 538 Senate forecast is dumb enough to believe that.

Now that’s just not true. Even all the pundits think that’s the case, and last time I checked not a single expert has moved NV out of the Toss-up category (Fox even moved it from Lean D to Toss-up one or two weeks ago, LOL). Clearly NV is as competitive as IN, MO and ND, though.
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« Reply #18 on: October 01, 2018, 03:36:42 PM »

Heller is certainly an underdog but the hysteria that he's 100% certain to lose is nonsensical. He still has a chance, polls aren't everything.

Nevada is not going to vote for a Republican in a Democratic wave year, especially when said Republican is an incumbent that has worse approvals than an unpopular Republican president.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #19 on: October 01, 2018, 03:41:15 PM »

Heller is certainly an underdog but the hysteria that he's 100% certain to lose is nonsensical. He still has a chance, polls aren't everything.

To me, it's more of a joke playing off of many in the national media thinking he's more safe than some of the incumbent Democrats.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #20 on: October 01, 2018, 03:42:44 PM »

There are multiple people here that think Heller will win or that Rosen will only win by <1 point. And as far as I can tell these people don't think there will be a Republican wave.

Who honestly believes that?

Rosen- I’m becoming more and more convinced that Heller will scrap through.

I'd say Wacky Jacky because I think she's gonna lose

Nevada I think will be an upset win for the Republicans



Jacky Rosen wins by only one point (cue IceSpear/xingkurei/MT Treasurer butthurt)
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« Reply #21 on: October 01, 2018, 03:45:00 PM »

CNN POLLS, nuff said.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #22 on: October 01, 2018, 03:45:05 PM »

There are multiple people here that think Heller will win or that Rosen will only win by <1 point. And as far as I can tell these people don't think there will be a Republican wave.

Who honestly believes that?

Rosen- I’m becoming more and more convinced that Heller will scrap through.

I'd say Wacky Jacky because I think she's gonna lose

Nevada I think will be an upset win for the Republicans



Jacky Rosen wins by only one point (cue IceSpear/xingkurei/MT Treasurer butthurt)

OK, point taken. I guess many people are crazy, what can I say?
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Pericles
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« Reply #23 on: October 01, 2018, 03:45:25 PM »

Manchin has pulled away and has it almost locked up, currently Dems are actually more likely to win WV than NV. Polls might change by election day but otoh they might not.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #24 on: October 01, 2018, 03:51:04 PM »

Heller is certainly an underdog but the hysteria that he's 100% certain to lose is nonsensical. He still has a chance, polls aren't everything.

You're right, polls aren't everything. As Republicans in Nevada know all too well. Smiley











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