NJ-Stockton: Menendez +2 (user search)
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  NJ-Stockton: Menendez +2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NJ-Stockton: Menendez +2  (Read 4159 times)
KingSweden
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« on: October 01, 2018, 10:13:11 AM »

Good thing the environment will probably save him
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KingSweden
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Posts: 11,227
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« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2018, 11:47:09 AM »

A few brighter spots for Menendez, the poll is only 8% black, but NJ electorate is around 14% black, and asians are less than 1% of the poll, but are over 8% of NJ and a little under that in the electorate. Menendez is probably leading by 5-6.

If this is the case then the poll doesn’t tell us much
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KingSweden
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Posts: 11,227
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« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2018, 12:33:55 PM »

I think the final result will be something like Menendez +6

Yeah somewhere between Menendez by 4-6 seems reasonable to me
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