I think it would be closer than people think: Blairite would appeal to business Republicans and could win Arizona and Nevada while losing the election. That being said, the midwest would be strongly Fuzzy, with educated Minnesota as a swing state voting to the "left" of Michigan. With his home state of Florida in Fuzzy's pocket, Blairte needs to somehow pull off a win in Texas
and Minnesota. So Fuzzy/Fuzzy. My vote would be pretty safe for Fuzzy, he needs to tie himself with conversion therapy to lose it, that or I suddenly become a wealthy international businessman and even then I'm not Safe "D".