What race do we have all wrong?
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  What race do we have all wrong?
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Author Topic: What race do we have all wrong?  (Read 2582 times)
Orser67
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #25 on: September 30, 2018, 11:03:14 AM »

I'll join a couple others in saying FL-Sen. I know the polling is close but I just don't think it's the type of race that Republicans will win this year.
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SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #26 on: September 30, 2018, 02:04:17 PM »

Nevada. I expect Heller to win.
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OneJ
OneJ_
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« Reply #27 on: September 30, 2018, 07:03:59 PM »

It was Missouri last year during the summer, lol.

As of now, I'll say Florida. People on here were obsessing over Scott's lead, Nelson being senile, Nelson's lack of effort to reach Latinos (particularly Puerto Ricans), etc. this summer despite not realizing that Astronaut Bill could make a comeback.
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TML
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #28 on: September 30, 2018, 08:05:35 PM »

Please note that in terms of FL-Sen, at least 538 considers it to be Tilt D instead of Tilt R after factoring in the fundamentals in addition to the polls. Thus, if Nelson ends up winning, 538 will probably say that this would be an example of polls moving in the direction of the fundamentals (which has happened quite often in various Senate races over the last 30 years or so).
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
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« Reply #29 on: September 30, 2018, 10:36:13 PM »

Nah. Rob Woodall will lose the 7th before Karen Handel loses the 6th.
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Figueira
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« Reply #30 on: October 01, 2018, 03:21:58 PM »

Dems are overrated in Tennessee and Indiana, and underrated in Texas and North Dakota.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #31 on: October 01, 2018, 06:23:45 PM »

NJ-SEN, which can go GOP, believe it or not.
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