SD ALG (Sutton internal): Sutton +3
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  SD ALG (Sutton internal): Sutton +3
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Author Topic: SD ALG (Sutton internal): Sutton +3  (Read 3429 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #25 on: September 27, 2018, 05:32:07 PM »

Tester's megacoattails are going to be Noem's, Cramer's, Little's, and Gordon's undoing.

I'm not so sure about Little. Remember that Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller's megacoattails are also ridiculously strong.

Anyway, by Bagel logic, Noem must be done for.

This race is Likely R.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #26 on: September 27, 2018, 05:54:01 PM »

Tester's megacoattails are going to be Noem's, Cramer's, Little's, and Gordon's undoing.

I'm not so sure about Little. Remember that Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller's megacoattails are also ridiculously strong.

Anyway, by Bagel logic, Noem must be done for.

This race is Likely R.

Okay, but it can be an upset.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #27 on: September 27, 2018, 05:56:46 PM »

Tester's megacoattails are going to be Noem's, Cramer's, Little's, and Gordon's undoing.

I'm not so sure about Little. Remember that Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller's megacoattails are also ridiculously strong.

Anyway, by Bagel logic, Noem must be done for.

This race is Likely R.
Sutton is more likely to win than Morrisey is. Fact. Deal with it.
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Xing
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« Reply #28 on: September 27, 2018, 06:00:41 PM »

Tester's megacoattails are going to be Noem's, Cramer's, Little's, and Gordon's undoing.

I'm not so sure about Little. Remember that Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller's megacoattails are also ridiculously strong.

Anyway, by Bagel logic, Noem must be done for.

This race is Likely R.

I agree, and WV-SEN is Likely D. See? It's possible to be consistent.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #29 on: September 27, 2018, 06:07:42 PM »

Tester's megacoattails are going to be Noem's, Cramer's, Little's, and Gordon's undoing.

I'm not so sure about Little. Remember that Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller's megacoattails are also ridiculously strong.

Anyway, by Bagel logic, Noem must be done for.

This race is Likely R.

I agree, and WV-SEN is Likely D. See? It's possible to be consistent.

I really like Sutton's chances and I think Manchin, who is a blue dog anyways will lose.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #30 on: September 27, 2018, 06:32:40 PM »

Tester's megacoattails are going to be Noem's, Cramer's, Little's, and Gordon's undoing.
Don't forget about Klobuchar's megacoattails, which are also helping Heitkamp and Sutton.

Women can't have megacoattails. They're reserved for #populist Purple heart white men only.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #31 on: September 27, 2018, 06:35:55 PM »

Tester's megacoattails are going to be Noem's, Cramer's, Little's, and Gordon's undoing.

I'm not so sure about Little. Remember that Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller's megacoattails are also ridiculously strong.

Anyway, by Bagel logic, Noem must be done for.

This race is Likely R.
Sutton is more likely to win than Morrisey is. Fact. Deal with it.

LOL, definitely not.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #32 on: September 27, 2018, 06:45:39 PM »

Tester's megacoattails are going to be Noem's, Cramer's, Little's, and Gordon's undoing.

I'm not so sure about Little. Remember that Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller's megacoattails are also ridiculously strong.

Anyway, by Bagel logic, Noem must be done for.

This race is Likely R.
Sutton is more likely to win than Morrisey is. Fact. Deal with it.

LOL, definitely not.
It is and you will see it on election day Wink
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #33 on: September 27, 2018, 07:02:10 PM »

Tester's megacoattails are going to be Noem's, Cramer's, Little's, and Gordon's undoing.

I'm not so sure about Little. Remember that Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller's megacoattails are also ridiculously strong.

Anyway, by Bagel logic, Noem must be done for.

This race is Likely R.
Sutton is more likely to win than Morrisey is. Fact. Deal with it.

LOL, definitely not.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #34 on: September 27, 2018, 07:02:48 PM »

Tester's megacoattails are going to be Noem's, Cramer's, Little's, and Gordon's undoing.

I'm not so sure about Little. Remember that Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller's megacoattails are also ridiculously strong.

Anyway, by Bagel logic, Noem must be done for.

This race is Likely R.
Sutton is more likely to win than Morrisey is. Fact. Deal with it.

LOL, definitely not.
It is and you will see it on election day Wink

Oh I hella hope I do, but I doubt it.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #35 on: September 27, 2018, 07:49:25 PM »

Morrissey may win, and Heidi can win as well. Everyone thinks that Dakotas aren't Dem territory and Byron Dorgan, a liberal won here. Whereas, WVa is GOP turf😁
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96FJV
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« Reply #36 on: September 27, 2018, 09:08:54 PM »

Sutton is a strong democrat here. I'm rooting for him.
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BBD
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« Reply #37 on: September 27, 2018, 09:12:30 PM »

Sutton is a strong democrat here. I'm rooting for him.

Have you seen any of his ads recently?
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TDAS04
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« Reply #38 on: September 27, 2018, 10:22:19 PM »

Tester's megacoattails are going to be Noem's, Cramer's, Little's, and Gordon's undoing.

I'm not so sure about Little. Remember that Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller's megacoattails are also ridiculously strong.

Anyway, by Bagel logic, Noem must be done for.

This race is Likely R.
Sutton is more likely to win than Morrisey is. Fact. Deal with it.

LOL, definitely not.

Yes he is.  Sutton could be the next JBE.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #39 on: September 27, 2018, 11:19:14 PM »

Tester's megacoattails are going to be Noem's, Cramer's, Little's, and Gordon's undoing.

I'm not so sure about Little. Remember that Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller's megacoattails are also ridiculously strong.

Anyway, by Bagel logic, Noem must be done for.

This race is Likely R.
Sutton is more likely to win than Morrisey is. Fact. Deal with it.

LOL, definitely not.

Yes he is.  Sutton could be the next JBE.

I actually wouldn't be overly surprised if Sutton won. I was taking more issue with people writing off Morrisey.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #40 on: September 28, 2018, 01:16:25 AM »

Tester's megacoattails are going to be Noem's, Cramer's, Little's, and Gordon's undoing.

I'm not so sure about Little. Remember that Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller's megacoattails are also ridiculously strong.

Anyway, by Bagel logic, Noem must be done for.

This race is Likely R.
Sutton is more likely to win than Morrisey is. Fact. Deal with it.

LOL, definitely not.

Yes he is.  Sutton could be the next JBE.

I actually wouldn't be overly surprised if Sutton won. I was taking more issue with people writing off Morrisey.
of course you are, legit how will you react if Manchin wins by 10 or more?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #41 on: September 28, 2018, 01:47:15 AM »

Tester's megacoattails are going to be Noem's, Cramer's, Little's, and Gordon's undoing.

I'm not so sure about Little. Remember that Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller's megacoattails are also ridiculously strong.

Anyway, by Bagel logic, Noem must be done for.

This race is Likely R.
Sutton is more likely to win than Morrisey is. Fact. Deal with it.

LOL, definitely not.

Yes he is.  Sutton could be the next JBE.

I actually wouldn't be overly surprised if Sutton won. I was taking more issue with people writing off Morrisey.
of course you are, legit how will you react if Manchin wins by 10 or more?

The same way every pundit will react if Dean Heller loses at all.
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Former Kentuckian
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« Reply #42 on: September 28, 2018, 03:13:35 AM »

Tester's megacoattails are going to be Noem's, Cramer's, Little's, and Gordon's undoing.
Don't forget about Klobuchar's megacoattails, which are also helping Heitkamp and Sutton.

My queen is so powerful. She'll save the entire Midwest.
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Pollster
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« Reply #43 on: September 29, 2018, 11:13:45 AM »

It's fairly noteworthy that Noem's team hasn't released any numbers to counter this, nor have any of her allies.
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South Dakota Democrat
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« Reply #44 on: September 30, 2018, 04:41:47 PM »

This is extremely anecdotal, but I've only seen 1-2 Noem yard signs since the primary, whereas Brookings County is littered with Sutton signs.  That's skewed a bit, since Brookings typically votes about 15 points to the left of the state overall, but it really doesn't seem like there's much enthusiasm for Noem.
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Figueira
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« Reply #45 on: October 02, 2018, 07:37:46 AM »

Have there been any other polls here? If not I'd say without any other information it's Lean R, not Likely.
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Storr
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« Reply #46 on: October 03, 2018, 10:03:04 PM »

Have there been any other polls here? If not I'd say without any other information it's Lean R, not Likely.

All I have been able to find was another Sutton internal from late July that had Noem at 46 and Sutton at 42. If there could be a big surprise, I wouldn't be surprised if it was South Dakota. It's easy an easy state for people to overlook. Honestly, it seems Sutton has more of a chance than Heitkamp at this point. It's much easier for states to elect governors not of the dominant party in the state than it is to  send senators to Washington. Think of John Bell Edwards, Charlie Baker, Phil Scott, Susana Martinez, Mike Beebe, and Phil Bredesen.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #47 on: October 03, 2018, 10:06:15 PM »

How Can SD vote for a Dem Governor while ND kicks Heitkamp out by 12?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #48 on: October 03, 2018, 10:11:21 PM »

How Can SD vote for a Dem Governor while ND kicks Heitkamp out by 12?

1. SD is to the left of ND
2. This is a gubernatorial race, not a federal one
3. Sutton has “charisma” and a “good story” or whatever it is that these asinine swing voters care about

Also, Heitkamp/Noem have vaginas while Cramer/Sutton do not.

I doubt Sutton could actually win if Heitkamp loses by double digits though.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #49 on: October 05, 2018, 12:32:56 PM »

With Cook moving this race to TOSS UP, I would guess that other private polling shows a close race.
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