Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer

[Wiz in Wis]

Couple of not so great Walker stories in the news lately:

https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/elections/2018/09/09/scott-walkers-ex-dot-secretary-governor-not-truthful-roads/1227104002/

https://madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/scott-walker-flew-percent-more-times-last-year-than-scrutinized/article_2c350f7f-363b-5604-86db-ef44d40ace9c.html

Seems as if planes, trains, and automobiles might be Walker's Achilles Heel.

[junior chįmp]

Couple of not so great Walker stories in the news lately:

https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/elections/2018/09/09/scott-walkers-ex-dot-secretary-governor-not-truthful-roads/1227104002/

https://madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/scott-walker-flew-percent-more-times-last-year-than-scrutinized/article_2c350f7f-363b-5604-86db-ef44d40ace9c.html

Seems as if planes, trains, and automobiles might be Walker's Achilles Heel.

He is finished

[KingSweden]

Couple of not so great Walker stories in the news lately:

https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/elections/2018/09/09/scott-walkers-ex-dot-secretary-governor-not-truthful-roads/1227104002/

https://madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/scott-walker-flew-percent-more-times-last-year-than-scrutinized/article_2c350f7f-363b-5604-86db-ef44d40ace9c.html

Seems as if planes, trains, and automobiles might be Walker's Achilles Heel.

More bad Walker press, this time from Tiger Beat

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/09/10/scott-walker-reelection-wisconsin-governor-813442

[Scottholes 2.0]

Why does the Hill think Tammy Baldwin is vulnerable? This is news!

http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/406085-trumps-plan-to-help-eliminate-federal-debt-was-to-print-money

[Mr. Smith]

Trump won y'see.

It's the same logic that should've prevented Ron Johnson in the first place, after all Russ won double digits in a  super-Republican year and Obama had the unbreakable near super-majority!

[mcmikk]

Good ad by Team Evers.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dtkmrnsdmak&feature=youtu.be

[Scottholes 2.0]

Cook Political FINALLY rates Wisconsin a toss-up. Wisconsin needs more polls, though. I feel like there's been fewer polls this election cycle.

https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/governor-race-ratings

Also, the Koch network is spending $1.3 million on Scott Walker's campaign.

http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/406675-koch-network-pumps-13-million-to-boost-walker-in-wisconsin

[Antonio the Sixth]

C'mon Evers!

[MasterJedi]

Kimberly Clark demanding $100 million from the state to keep one of their plants open. Walker calling all Republicans back to the capital for a special session to give their masters what they want.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Kimberly Clark demanding $100 million from the state to keep one of their plants open. Walker calling all Republicans back to the capital for a special session to give their masters what they want.

Link?

[Scottholes 2.0]

The MU Law poll for Wisconsin is coming out tommorrow. I honestly won't be surprised if it has Walker or Vukmir leading.

https://twitter.com/mulawpoll?lang=en

[Blair]

The MU Law poll for Wisconsin is coming out tommorrow. I honestly won't be surprised if it has Walker or Vukmir leading.

https://twitter.com/mulawpoll?lang=en

How come?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The MU Law poll for Wisconsin is coming out tommorrow. I honestly won't be surprised if it has Walker or Vukmir leading.

https://twitter.com/mulawpoll?lang=en

You are absolutely right, about the WI poll, that they might have Walker leading. Somehow, the ratings were leading to something when they had FL as tossup and WI as LR due to the immigration issue and Gillum is exceeding expectations, and Walker is likeable

[mcmikk]

Anyone else seeing this nonsensical Kleefisch-Barnes feud?

Kleefisch accused Barnes of kneeling during the national anthem during an event at the State Fair, but said she didn't see it herself(bc she was looking at the flag and respecting it like a Real American) but that someone(unidentified) told her that Barnes did. Everyone consulted by the press said Barnes was standing, and Kleefisch doesn't have a single person to back up her claim. Barnes is calling her out hard on Twitter, and Kleefisch is sticking by her story.

The dog whistle has become a bull horn.

[Scottholes 2.0]

The MU Law poll for Wisconsin is coming out tommorrow. I honestly won't be surprised if it has Walker or Vukmir leading.

https://twitter.com/mulawpoll?lang=en

You are absolutely right, about the WI poll, that they might have Walker leading. Somehow, the ratings were leading to something when they had FL as tossup and WI as LR due to the immigration issue and Gillum is exceeding expectations, and Walker is likeable

Yeah, MU disappointed me last time, and they likely will again.

I'm curious about one thing, though: If Baldwin is safe, how the heck is it possible that Wisconsin can reelect Walker at the same time? Baldwin is one of the most far-left U.S. senators, and Scott Walker is far-right. My state doesn't split tickets these days (i.e. Walker-Johnson in 2010, Obama-Baldwin 2012, Trump-Johnson 2016), so I'm interested in knowing how this race will end. Are there a lot of Walker-Baldwin voters?

[Xing]

How do we know that the MU numbers will be favorable to Republicans? Did they drop a "hint" or something? And yeah, voting for Baldwin and Walker doesn't make sense, but that doesn't mean that a decent percentage of voters won't do it. Probably not 10-15% or anything like that, but I could see 6-7% doing so, which could be enough for Walker to survive if Baldwin wins by less than expected.

[Scottholes 2.0]

How do we know that the MU numbers will be favorable to Republicans? Did they drop a "hint" or something? And yeah, voting for Baldwin and Walker doesn't make sense, but that doesn't mean that a decent percentage of voters won't do it. Probably not 10-15% or anything like that, but I could see 6-7% doing so, which could be enough for Walker to survive if Baldwin wins by less than expected.

Like I said, it's going to have Walker leading. Mark my words!

[MT Treasurer]

My prediction:

Baldwin +4
Walker +2

Of course I’ll be totally wrong as always.

[Politician]

Prediction:

Baldwin +5 (cue Atlas panic)
Evers +1

[Zaybay]

Baldwin +5

Evers+ 2

Such a result should be expected from their odd voter screen

[Xing]

I'll say Baldwin +6 and Walker +1, but obviously there will be a meltdown whatever the result is.

[MT Treasurer]

I'll say Baldwin +6 and Walker +1, but obviously there will be a meltdown whatever the result is.

Safest prediction ever.

[Dr. Arch]

Baldwin+7
Evers +4

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

Prediction:
Baldwin +7 ("GOLD STANDARD shows Baldwin leading.")

Walker + 3 and everyone decides Marquette is no longer the Gold Standard until they show results they want.

[Scottholes 2.0]

Prediction:
Baldwin +7 ("GOLD STANDARD shows Baldwin leading.")

Walker + 3 and everyone decides Marquette is no longer the Gold Standard until they show results they want.

What I don't understand is why every other poll has shown Evers leading, while every Marquette poll  in this cycle has indicated Walker either leading or tied with Evers. Vukmir was the closest she'd ever been to Baldwin on the last Marquette poll. The Marquette poll obviously skews Republican.