Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer

[Scottholes 2.0]

I gotta say, Evers is doing really well in the polls this election season, A LOT better than Mary Burke did when she was running against Walker. Walker has literally only led in ONE poll so far. I just hope Evers continues to slaughter him as polling becomes more important, like in October. He's going to win this race if he polls like this in October. Heck, if he continues to beat Walker in the polls in a month from now, this race should be consiered lean D.

Come on, Evers. You've got this!

And why does Cook Political still have this race as lean R yet has Baldwin's race as likely D when Walker's much more vulnerable than Baldwin?

[Zaybay]

I gotta say, Evers is doing really well in the polls this election season, A LOT better than Mary Burke did when she was running against Walker. Walker has literally only led in ONE poll so far. I just hope Evers continues to slaughter him as polling becomes more important, like in October. He's going to win this race if he polls like this in October. Heck, if he continues to beat Walker in the polls in a month from now, this race should be consiered lean D.

Come on, Evers. You've got this!

And why does Cook Political still have this race as lean R yet has Baldwin's race as likely D when Walker's much more vulnerable than Baldwin?

Im glad that youve got the enthusiasm about the race back! This race is definitely gonna be a top D pickup, and Walker is definitely on the ropes.

And about the Cook Political thing, they still rate the OK governorship solid R, and moved OR to lean D after a Gravis poll. This is why no one on Atlas really trusts the pundits.

[Gass3268]

I gotta say, Evers is doing really well in the polls this election season, A LOT better than Mary Burke did when she was running against Walker. Walker has literally only led in ONE poll so far. I just hope Evers continues to slaughter him as polling becomes more important, like in October. He's going to win this race if he polls like this in October. Heck, if he continues to beat Walker in the polls in a month from now, this race should be consiered lean D.

Come on, Evers. You've got this!

And why does Cook Political still have this race as lean R yet has Baldwin's race as likely D when Walker's much more vulnerable than Baldwin?

Im glad that youve got the enthusiasm about the race back! This race is definitely gonna be a top D pickup, and Walker is definitely on the ropes.

And about the Cook Political thing, they still rate the OK governorship solid R, and moved OR to lean D after a Gravis poll. This is why no one on Atlas really trusts the pundits.

Wasserman does a relatively good job with the House ratings, it's much better than Inside Elections, however the person who does the SEN/GOV ratings is struggling.

[Scottholes 2.0]

I gotta say, Evers is doing really well in the polls this election season, A LOT better than Mary Burke did when she was running against Walker. Walker has literally only led in ONE poll so far. I just hope Evers continues to slaughter him as polling becomes more important, like in October. He's going to win this race if he polls like this in October. Heck, if he continues to beat Walker in the polls in a month from now, this race should be consiered lean D.

Come on, Evers. You've got this!

And why does Cook Political still have this race as lean R yet has Baldwin's race as likely D when Walker's much more vulnerable than Baldwin?

Im glad that youve got the enthusiasm about the race back! This race is definitely gonna be a top D pickup, and Walker is definitely on the ropes.

And about the Cook Political thing, they still rate the OK governorship solid R, and moved OR to lean D after a Gravis poll. This is why no one on Atlas really trusts the pundits.

Interesting! I don't really trust them pundits either. I suspect they'll move it to the toss-up category soon, though.

Anyway, I can't wait for more polls to come out!

[Zaybay]

Evers raises over 1$ million in just 8 days

https://madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/tony-evers-raises-million-over-days-in-race-against-scott/article_ea7ac2bb-5b51-5751-8ee5-ce6a008b384b.html


Yeah, starting to think that Evers may be just a bit favoured. Just a bit.

[Wiz in Wis]

Funny how Marquette is the Gold Standard™ until it shows numbers inconvenient to the red avatars here. Evers below 50 in Suffolk, though.

Wait till you find out that Walker is below Evers!

Oh, I know...I saw the thread. I wonder if the Foxconn news will be enough to change the game in the state. All I know is, watch how undecideds will break in this state as the election looms.

I really don't know why you'd think that undecideds will break for the incumbent in this election year. In midterms, most undecideds either vote for the challenger or don't vote period.

[redjohn]

Evers raises over 1$ million in just 8 days

https://madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/tony-evers-raises-million-over-days-in-race-against-scott/article_ea7ac2bb-5b51-5751-8ee5-ce6a008b384b.html


Yeah, starting to think that Evers may be just a bit favoured. Just a bit.

This really doesn't mean much at all. Many donors were waiting until there was a Democratic nominee out of the huge field, and now they're donating. Evers is still far behind Walker in terms of money, but in my opinion using donation stats to argue that a candidate is favored isn't useful.

[Scottholes 2.0]

Mike Pence endorses Vukmir and will help Vukmir campaign.


https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/elections/2018/08/28/mike-pence-headline-leah-vukmir-fundraiser-u-s-senate-race/1122244002/

[Dr. Arch]

Rain has started again, and it's been going for hours. Many areas near the lakes will be forced to evacuate soon.

[Koharu]

Rain has started again, and it's been going for hours. Many areas near the lakes will be forced to evacuate soon.

And heavy rain in other areas, too. La Crosse county saw 11 inches today, the Baraboo River in Sauk County is set to rise 10 ft!!! by Thursday/Friday due to all the rain, Green County is also now seeing flooding, and there are more storms yet to come. It's terrifying and I hope people can stay safe.

[Gass3268]

I've some horrific pictures from Ontario in Vernon County.

[Dr. Arch]

Rain has started again, and it's been going for hours. Many areas near the lakes will be forced to evacuate soon.

And heavy rain in other areas, too. La Crosse county saw 11 inches today, the Baraboo River in Sauk County is set to rise 10 ft!!! by Thursday/Friday due to all the rain, Green County is also now seeing flooding, and there are more storms yet to come. It's terrifying and I hope people can stay safe.

Yeah, Western and South Central WI are getting pummeled.

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

Rain has started again, and it's been going for hours. Many areas near the lakes will be forced to evacuate soon.

And heavy rain in other areas, too. La Crosse county saw 11 inches today, the Baraboo River in Sauk County is set to rise 10 ft!!! by Thursday/Friday due to all the rain, Green County is also now seeing flooding, and there are more storms yet to come. It's terrifying and I hope people can stay safe.

Yeah, Western and South Central WI are getting pummeled.

Unlike in Dane County, Walker heroics here will boost his reelection odds in this swing region.

[Scottholes 2.0]

Rain has started again, and it's been going for hours. Many areas near the lakes will be forced to evacuate soon.

And heavy rain in other areas, too. La Crosse county saw 11 inches today, the Baraboo River in Sauk County is set to rise 10 ft!!! by Thursday/Friday due to all the rain, Green County is also now seeing flooding, and there are more storms yet to come. It's terrifying and I hope people can stay safe.

Yeah, Western and South Central WI are getting pummeled.

Unlike in Dane County, Walker heroics here will boost his reelection odds in this swing region.

Stop it already! You couldn't be more wrong. Most people are aware his 1-hour visit in Madison was merely a photo-op! Just because you want Walker to win so badly, doesn't mean he will.

[junior chįmp]

A song for Scott Walker:

Boyz II Men - End Of The Road

Press F5 to pay your respects.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/WisVoter/status/1035540803987406849

https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/blogs/wisconsin-voter/2018/08/31/scott-walker-gop-face-uphill-battle-right-now-independent-voters/1155656002/

[KingSweden]

A song for Scott Walker:

Boyz II Men - End Of The Road

Press F5 to pay your respects.

Ah the best song. “I’ll Make Love to You” is a solid second option by the kings of R&B

[MasterJedi]

After working the last 8 years on drastically pushing multi billion dollar road expansion and neglecting local roads, Walker is now trying to play the part of the fiscal conservative and say he is against this and always has been and covert groups are pushing expansion. What a tool.

[Wiz in Wis]

After working the last 8 years on drastically pushing multi billion dollar road expansion and neglecting local roads, Walker is now trying to play the part of the fiscal conservative and say he is against this and always has been and covert groups are pushing expansion. What a tool.

My favorite Scott Walker roads story is how he held a ribbon cutting ceremony for the completion of work on the Zoo Interchange... which is not yet complete.

https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/2018/08/28/scott-walker-declares-zoo-interchange-done-even-work-remains/1121749002/

[MasterJedi]

After working the last 8 years on drastically pushing multi billion dollar road expansion and neglecting local roads, Walker is now trying to play the part of the fiscal conservative and say he is against this and always has been and covert groups are pushing expansion. What a tool.

My favorite Scott Walker roads story is how he held a ribbon cutting ceremony for the completion of work on the Zoo Interchange... which is not yet complete.

https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/2018/08/28/scott-walker-declares-zoo-interchange-done-even-work-remains/1121749002/

The "core" is complete, they still have millions left to spend on the outer areas, which he deferred so will cost more. #fiscalconservatism

[Dr. Arch]

Walker is flopping and flailing a lot more this time around, which suggests things aren't going too well for him.

[IceSpear]

Walker is flopping and flailing a lot more this time around, which suggests things aren't going too well for him.

Well yeah, I don't think anyone besides hofoid believes Walker is going to be in as good of shape as he was in his other three elections.

[MT Treasurer]

Walker gaining on Evers (who is below 50) in PPP poll. Looks like he has momentum.

Is this a joke? Their last poll had Evers up 5 (49-44), that one before had him up 4 (49-45), this one has him up 4 (49-45) as well.

[Scottholes 2.0]

Walker gaining on Evers (who is below 50) in PPP poll. Looks like he has momentum.

I believed you for a moment until I looked up the PPP poll, which showed that Evers is STILL leading by the same margin (49-45) as last month's poll. No offense, but did your math teacher fail you or something? As I told you before, Walker led by less than 50 percent in most polls during his 2014 reelection campaign, yet STILL won by more than 50 percent. Why do you continue to lie? Just curious.

Evers is doing well in comparison to Walker's previous opponents, but my question is will WI voters be smart this time and fall for Walker's campaign lines? All I know is that Walker is trying his hardest to deter voters from voting for Evers with his incessant allegations against Evers regarding his refusal to revoke a teacher's license due to pornography distribution. Will voters fall for this lie Walker keeps spouting (despite the fact that Evers had minimal authority over teacher licensure revocations at time), especially since that's all he's got against Evers? I really cannot stand Walker and can't take another 4 years of him. He is a liar who keeps painting himself as an "education governor" (will voters fall for that lie, too?) despite the fact that he's diverted funding from public schools and the UW System more than any other WI governor. He is very dishonest and needs to go!

Honestly, Evers will win if he continues to lead the way he is in the polls, but that is if voters don't fall for Walker's lies for the FOURTH time. In short, it's becoming more and more likely that Evers will win,  but I give it another month of polls/data before my confidence is maxed out!

[Xing]

Walker is flopping and flailing a lot more this time around, which suggests things aren't going too well for him.

Based on how he publicizes polls showing him behind, I don't think he's making any secret of the fact that he's worried. I suppose he could be in better shape than polls are suggesting, but if he thought so, why would he be sounding alarms so much?