FL-GOV(NBC/Marist): Gillum+5
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 02:58:13 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  FL-GOV(NBC/Marist): Gillum+5
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: FL-GOV(NBC/Marist): Gillum+5  (Read 2428 times)
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 25, 2018, 04:01:23 PM »

Logged
ajc0918
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,862
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 25, 2018, 04:02:15 PM »

Gillumentum!
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,579
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 25, 2018, 04:02:24 PM »

At this rate I'm gonna have to rate this Lean D.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,933
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 25, 2018, 04:02:53 PM »

The polls have really been fantastic for the Democrats this past week, especially today.
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 25, 2018, 04:03:26 PM »

It looks like Gillum is becoming more and more of a lock on the race. If I were the FLDEMs, I would shift some focus to take the state senate.
Logged
Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,201
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 25, 2018, 04:05:03 PM »

Remember when he first won and Atlas thought that Ron freakin DeSantis of all people was the favored
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 25, 2018, 04:05:16 PM »
« Edited: September 25, 2018, 04:14:05 PM by Dems for DeSantis »

Quoting this for prospenity:

Governor Desantis thanks the Florida Democratic party for their incompetance

He was a white guy, you see. And he underperformed the rest of the ticket dramatically. This race is Leans R. If not Likely R

DeSantis will win by 12.

Gillum is too far-left for FL.

Not even Latinos in Florida are far-left.

The FL celebrity Baby Boomer type will go for DeSantis.

I think you're being too hard on DeSantis.  He will win by at least 15-18 points.  And not even African-Americans in Florida are that far left.

It seems one can say "hello!" to governor DeSantis

I was one of the few people who realized Gillum winning doesn't change the state of the race, and that DeSantis is a trash tier candidate, but nobody listened to me.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 25, 2018, 04:05:32 PM »

 Very nice!
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 25, 2018, 04:06:29 PM »

It looks like Gillum is becoming more and more of a lock on the race. If I were the FLDEMs, I would shift some focus to take the state senate.

It's certainly not a lock, and besides, Gillum needs to do as well as possible so that he can drag Nelson over the finish line.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 25, 2018, 04:06:36 PM »

Definitely Lean D.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 25, 2018, 04:44:20 PM »

While I'm not counting DeSantis out yet, Gillum has had a pretty consistent advantage, despite quality #analysis from Atlas suggesting that nominating him handed this race to Republicans. Lean D is a fair rating for this race.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,781
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 25, 2018, 05:05:07 PM »

It's only a five point race, it's not 10
Logged
libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,610
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 25, 2018, 05:20:09 PM »

While Gillum is by no means out of the clear yet, it's pretty safe to say he has the clear advantage here.  Six weeks isn't a lot of time for DeSantis to make up, especially in a state as large and populous as Florida.  Tilt D.
Logged
Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,856
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 25, 2018, 05:38:01 PM »

I'm trying not to get my hopes up too much, but the idea of an unabashed, charismatic leftist winning the Florida governors office for the first time in 20 years is like a dream come true. Not to mention the fact that Democrats have a fairly good shot at flipping the state Senate or at least significantly reducing the GOP majority.
Logged
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,027
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 25, 2018, 05:48:33 PM »

If anyone told me a year ago that a Berniecrat was on track to defeat a Trumpist for Governor, I'd say you were crazy
Logged
TarHeelDem
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,448
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 25, 2018, 05:50:39 PM »

Gillum's lead is large and consistent enough for me to shift this race into the Likely D column.
Logged
libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,610
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 25, 2018, 05:51:37 PM »

Gillum's lead is large and consistent enough for me to shift this race into the Likely D column.
If this were any other state, I'd agree with you.  However, it's Florida.  Tilt D for now.  If Gillum is still leading by next week, I'll move it to Lean D.
Logged
Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,188
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: September 25, 2018, 06:11:53 PM »

If anyone told me a year ago that a Berniecrat was on track to defeat a Trumpist for Governor, I'd say you were crazy
He is not a Berniecrat.

Anyway, can't wait for Andrew Gillum to smoke this loser on Election night.
Logged
Jags
Rookie
**
Posts: 174


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: September 25, 2018, 07:17:39 PM »

If anyone told me a year ago that a Berniecrat was on track to defeat a Trumpist for Governor, I'd say you were crazy
He is not a Berniecrat.

Anyway, can't wait for Andrew Gillum to smoke this loser on Election night.
Yes he is.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,547
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: September 25, 2018, 07:29:22 PM »

Remember when he first won and Atlas thought that Ron freakin DeSantis of all people was the favored

I was one of those people, and I am glad to be eating my words.
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,417
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: September 25, 2018, 08:17:56 PM »

Interestingly enough it's a 46-27 (+19%) Fav/Unfav  for Gillum among LVs, and 42-37 (+5%) Fav/Unfav of DeSantis, despite Gillum having lower name recognition or unsure (27%) vs DeSantis (22%).

These favorable numbers for Gillum and Unfavorable numbers for DeSantis is why we are seeing these consistently decent leads for Gillum.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,963
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: September 25, 2018, 09:01:01 PM »

While I'm not counting DeSantis out yet, Gillum has had a pretty consistent advantage, despite quality #analysis from Atlas suggesting that nominating him handed this race to Republicans. Lean D is a fair rating for this race.
Logged
junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: September 25, 2018, 10:08:26 PM »

Desantis never had a chance
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,066


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: September 25, 2018, 11:07:30 PM »

While I'm not counting DeSantis out yet, Gillum has had a pretty consistent advantage, despite quality #analysis from Atlas suggesting that nominating him handed this race to Republicans. Lean D is a fair rating for this race.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.058 seconds with 14 queries.