FL-SEN(Quinnipiac): Nelson +7

[MT Treasurer]

This is obviously junk, but Heitkamp, Donnelly and McCaskill are definitely all more vulnerable than Nelson.

[MT Treasurer]

Interesting how a poll from one of the few reputable pollsters polling this race is "junk." I agree that it's most likely an outlier, but the idea that this race is shifting in Nelson's favor isn't implausible.

It’s not, but a 7-point lead is a bit hard to believe, especially after their Cruz +9 (54-45) poll (which most people called an "outlier" as well). That said, I’d rather be Nelson than Scott at this point, and people might be underestimating how much the red tide problem is hurting Scott.