MT-SEN (Gravis): Tester + 4

Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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Re: MT-SEN (Gravis): Tester + 4

« Reply #25 on: September 25, 2018, 11:23:33 AM »

Nice

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/408265-montana-gop-senate-candidate-dropped-civil-charges-against-donor-report

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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
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Re: MT-SEN (Gravis): Tester + 4

« Reply #26 on: September 25, 2018, 11:52:46 AM »

Believable top line.

Tester was never going to win by a lot. I think people's confidence in Tester derives from this being a static, 3-5 point Lean D race for the entirety of the campaign.

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GeorgiaModerate
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Re: MT-SEN (Gravis): Tester + 4

« Reply #27 on: September 25, 2018, 12:24:28 PM »

Quote from: Dems for DeSantis on September 25, 2018, 12:06:39 PM

Quote from: Weak candidate MT Treasurer on September 25, 2018, 10:27:50 AM

"Tester's Numbers Beginning to Sink Amidst Trump Attention"? I doubt he was ever ahead by more than 4 or 5 points in this race.

Mds isn't even trying to hide his intentions anymore.

Yeah. Could we please stick to simple reporting of the poll results in the titles and leave out interpretations?

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Antonio the Sixth
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Re: MT-SEN (Gravis): Tester + 4

« Reply #28 on: September 25, 2018, 07:30:30 PM »

Quote from: Joshua on September 25, 2018, 11:52:46 AM

Believable top line.

Tester was never going to win by a lot. I think people's confidence in Tester derives from this being a static, 3-5 point Lean D race for the entirety of the campaign.

Yeah, I don't know where this idea that he was gonna run away with it by 10+ points came from.

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Progressive Pessimist
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Re: MT-SEN (Gravis): Tester + 4

« Reply #29 on: September 25, 2018, 07:35:40 PM »

Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on September 25, 2018, 10:05:43 AM

WHAT'S EVERYONE COMPLAINING BOUT?! Tester by 4 is a decent result for us, and sounds realistic.

I was thinking the same thing. A potential four point win in a Trump state (even if it is Gravis)? I'll take it. What more do people want?

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IceSpear
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E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Re: MT-SEN (Gravis): Tester + 4

« Reply #30 on: September 26, 2018, 02:04:31 AM »

I wonder if we'll ever get a real poll out of Montana, aside from the Gravis/YouGov/internal poo poo platter.

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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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Re: MT-SEN (Gravis): Tester + 4

« Reply #31 on: September 26, 2018, 08:30:23 AM »

Quote from: Secret Cavern Survivor on September 25, 2018, 07:30:30 PM

Quote from: Joshua on September 25, 2018, 11:52:46 AM

Believable top line.

Tester was never going to win by a lot. I think people's confidence in Tester derives from this being a static, 3-5 point Lean D race for the entirety of the campaign.

Yeah, I don't know where this idea that he was gonna run away with it by 10+ points came from.

People attaching too much importance to "candidate quality" and exaggerating the state's "elasticity". What’s new?

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