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  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  FL UNF: Tie
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Author Topic: FL UNF: Tie  (Read 1306 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: September 24, 2018, 07:14:25 am »

https://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2018/09/24/unf-poll-gillum-edging-desantis-nelson-and-scott-tied-623412

Nelson 45
Scott 45
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Skye
yeah_93
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« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2018, 08:09:31 am »

I wonder which one's going to be closer, MO, or this? It'll probably be this one.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2018, 08:40:46 am »

I stop counting the tied polls now.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #3 on: September 24, 2018, 09:14:10 am »

So according to the last nine polls:

TIE
Scott +1
TIE
Nelson +1
Scott +2
TIE
TIE
TIE
Nelson +1

Crazy how close this race is.
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emcee0
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« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2018, 10:53:33 am »

Bill Nelson needs to get sh*t together!!
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President Johnson
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« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2018, 02:39:39 pm »

Imagine if the actual election result is a tie. I mean, it's Florida.

Under conventional wisdom, spaceman should win in the end.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2018, 03:04:37 pm »

I think Nelson probably wins by 1-2% at this point, but he's lucky this is looking like a great year for Democrats. If he ran this kind of campaign in a Clinton midterm, oh boy...
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2018, 04:19:39 pm »

So according to the last nine polls:

TIE
Scott +1
TIE
Nelson +1
Scott +2
TIE
TIE
TIE
Nelson +1

Crazy how close this race is.

Just wait until Florida remembers that Nelson was an astronaut.
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Great Society
progressive85
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« Reply #8 on: September 24, 2018, 04:31:11 pm »

He lives yet!  #BlastOff
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #9 on: September 24, 2018, 05:13:39 pm »

Dont get this race, if Gillum is leading, how is it that Nelson doednt take off
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UWS
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« Reply #10 on: September 24, 2018, 06:07:54 pm »

So according to the last nine polls:

TIE
Scott +1
TIE
Nelson +1
Scott +2
TIE
TIE
TIE
Nelson +1

Crazy how close this race is.

Just wait until Florida remembers that Nelson was an astronaut.

And Rick Scott was in the U.S. Navy. So Nelson doesnt have the monopoly of patriotic service.
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UWS
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« Reply #11 on: September 24, 2018, 06:08:40 pm »

Dont get this race, if Gillum is leading, how is it that Nelson doednt take off

Because Scott has pretty positive job approval ratings as Governor (massive job creation during his 8 years as Governor and because of his handling of Hurricane Irma) and because he is more known than De Santis is.
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Ridin' with Biden
Zyzz
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« Reply #12 on: September 24, 2018, 06:47:16 pm »

Nelson is such a low energy uninspiring candidate, outside of us political hacks and a few Floridians, nobody knows who Bill Nelson is. He has a very low profile, I can't think of anything big or notable he has done in the Senate. He is the Democratic Jeb, thank god this is going to be a blue tsunami year.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #13 on: September 24, 2018, 07:31:53 pm »

I will never understand these possible Gillum-Scott voters. That said, it looks like Rick Scott peaked too early. We're consistently seeing ties or extremely meager leads for both candidates now. It remains a tossup, and will remain a tossup, but that was not money well spent by Scott.
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Trends are real, and I f**king hate it
Antonio V
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« Reply #14 on: September 24, 2018, 09:31:02 pm »

So according to the last nine polls:

TIE
Scott +1
TIE
Nelson +1
Scott +2
TIE
TIE
TIE
Nelson +1

Crazy how close this race is.

This looks like herding to me.
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○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
jfern
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« Reply #15 on: September 24, 2018, 09:36:43 pm »

So according to the last nine polls:

TIE
Scott +1
TIE
Nelson +1
Scott +2
TIE
TIE
TIE
Nelson +1

Crazy how close this race is.

This looks like herding to me.

Herding is definitely a tragedy of the commons.
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Cory Booker
olawakandi
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« Reply #16 on: September 24, 2018, 09:47:12 pm »

Scott winning and GILLUM winning is totally not out of question now
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Mondale
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #17 on: September 24, 2018, 11:25:20 pm »

I will never understand these possible Gillum-Scott voters. That said, it looks like Rick Scott peaked too early. We're consistently seeing ties or extremely meager leads for both candidates now. It remains a tossup, and will remain a tossup, but that was not money well spent by Scott.

Rick Scott was probably in the lead until he started running ads 24/7 and voters were reminded of his ugly mug causing his lead to tank
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President Pericles
Pericles
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« Reply #18 on: September 25, 2018, 12:00:06 am »

Yep have to agree looks like herding wouldn't be surprised if it ends up with Nelson winning clearly(either through polling error and/or shift of the polls towards Nelson).
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Cory Booker
olawakandi
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« Reply #19 on: September 25, 2018, 01:58:32 am »

I will never understand these possible Gillum-Scott voters. That said, it looks like Rick Scott peaked too early. We're consistently seeing ties or extremely meager leads for both candidates now. It remains a tossup, and will remain a tossup, but that was not money well spent by Scott.

Rick Scott was probably in the lead until he started running ads 24/7 and voters were reminded of his ugly mug causing his lead to tank

This race is still competetive and you can't underestimate Scott due to his comeback performance in 2014,.
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