For fun, let's try and predict the maps for the next six elections

[TodayJunior]

2024
The Republicans just can't shake Donald Trump and so he wins the nomination. Picks IA gov Kim Reynolds. However, things economically have largely improved, Covid is a non-issue, and everyone is just tired of Trump. Biden wins the NPV by 9% a la 1996 winning Indy's by 25% and getting significant cross-over support from mainline Republicans who want to "teach 'em a lesson". it's a blood bath. Dems recapture the House, hold the Senate thanks to the top of the ticket.


2028
Republicans, after licking their wounds from the 2024 bloodbath decide to go with Florida Man #2 this round (DeSantis); Biden's approval rating has largely improved into the low-50's. Harris wins the nomination a la Gore-2000 after fighting off a few challenges from the left flank. Also, just like 2000, DeSantis ends up winning nationally 49/48 but loses the EC due to AZ (the reverse Florida-2000), and goes to Harris by 300 votes after 1 month of Maricopa County yet again botching an election. immediate calls from the right ironially to remove the EC, but are squashed by more cooler heads in the Senate. Now they realize how Dems felt after the 2000 debacle.


2032 - took a stab at reapportionment (who knows?)
After three consecutive losses, the GOP finally moderates (at least for saving face); just like 1992, it's the economy stupid - recession in late 2031 into mid-2032. A progressive challenges from the left, loses, but there is a minor third party that siphons off some votes from Dems. She loses to a moderate western-governor 45/48/7


2036 - Lombardo re-elected


2040- Dems win with this map.
[

[TodayJunior]

2024
The Republicans just can't shake Donald Trump and so he wins the nomination. Picks IA gov Kim Reynolds. However, things economically have largely improved, Covid is a non-issue, and everyone is just tired of Trump. Biden wins the NPV by 9% a la 1996 winning Indy's by 25% and getting significant cross-over support from mainline Republicans who want to "teach 'em a lesson". it's a blood bath. Dems recapture the House, hold the Senate thanks to the top of the ticket.


2028
Republicans, after licking their wounds from the 2024 bloodbath decide to go with Florida Man #2 this round (DeSantis); Biden's approval rating has largely improved into the low-50's. Harris wins the nomination a la Gore-2000 after fighting off a few challenges from the left flank. Also, just like 2000, DeSantis ends up winning nationally 49/48 but loses the EC due to AZ (the reverse Florida-2000), and goes to Harris by 300 votes after 1 month of Maricopa County yet again botching an election. immediate calls from the right ironially to remove the EC, but are squashed by more cooler heads in the Senate. Now they realize how Dems felt after the 2000 debacle.


2032 - took a stab at reapportionment (who knows?)
After three consecutive losses, the GOP finally moderates (at least for saving face); just like 1992, it's the economy stupid - recession in late 2031 into mid-2032. A progressive challenges from the left, loses, but there is a minor third party that siphons off some votes from Dems. She loses to a moderate western-governor 45/48/7


2036 - Lombardo re-elected


2040- Dems win with this map.
[

Why exactly did you go with Joe Lombardo of all people?

No reason other than he was the only R to defeat a D incumbent in a very hotly contested swing state in 2022 that hasn’t gone R since 2004. He wasn’t an election denier to my knowledge, but he was also endorsed by trump so perhaps that’s a bridge that’s crossable for a broader general electorate? You could pick someone else though.