I'd still prefer Kamala beating Ronny D in 2024 but seeing her win in 2028 without being an incumbent is pretty heartening. Funny how Kamala wins the EC by even more than Dark Brandon does in 2024, who still does better in his reelection bid than against Don Giovanni.
Harris' win comes from Democrats finally breaking through in Texas (extremely narrowly) and also narrowly winning North Carolina. DeSantis narrowly loses North Carolina and then Cotton loses it by a bit of a larger margin, but the state remains competitive overall. Texas with Republican rurals largely maxed out and the RGV being pretty unpopulated doesn't really have too many places where Republicans can
increase their vote share to compensate for losing votes in the major urban counties. I expect Michigan+Pennsylvania to remain competitive as long term as there is no particular dynamic pushing either state strongly in one direction. Wisconsin would be similar, but the problem is if Wisconsin rurals start voting like PA rurals (not at all impossible imo), there isn't really many places for Democrats to fall back on, unless Dane starts voting like 90% D, which I don't view as too likely.
