IA Des Moines Registar: Hubbell +2

[Technocracy Timmy]

If Reynolds, Blum and Young all lose, that’s terrible news for Joni Ernst and Trump's chances in IA in 2020.

Maybe, but Democrats for example got blown out in Tennessee in 94 and Clinton still carried the state two years later. A lot can happen.

Trump is much more polarizing than Clinton/Obama were and nowhere near as skilled a politician as them, plus he most likely won’t have the luxury of facing someone as or more unpopular as Clinton in 2020. I’m pretty sure Democrats will be as fired up in 2020 as they are right now, and I don’t see any reason why the Trump 2016 voters who are either abandoning him right now or not showing up to vote at all will do so in 2020. If Republicans get crushed in IA this year, there’s no way the state is anything worse than Toss-up for Democrats in 2020. I’d say it’s even Lean/Likely D with someone like Sanders.

I liked Obama, but him not being polar entity? Yikes, someone's forgotten the birther movement alone.

We get it, Obama’s black.