Party bias in early voting vs. regular voting
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Party bias in early voting vs. regular voting
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Author Topic: Party bias in early voting vs. regular voting  (Read 402 times)
TML
Junior Chimp
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« on: September 22, 2018, 02:06:26 PM »

It seems to me that in jurisdictions where early voting exists, Democrats always seem to do better in early voting, while Republicans return the favor in regular (Election Day) voting, in many cases enough to offset the Democrats' early voting advantage. For example, here are the early vs. regular voting results (in terms of raw vote margin) from NC over the last several presidential elections:

2016

EV: D+78207
RV: R+251222

2012:

EV: D+129062
RV: R+221066

2008:

EV: D+305054
RV: R+290877

Is it always true that Democrats do better in early voting while Republicans dominate regular voting, or are there some places where Democrats do as well or even better on Election Day vs. early voting?
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2018, 02:20:07 PM »

Probably places where EV is dominated by the military, no?  The most likely place for that to happen at the state level is Hawaii, but you probably need to look at smaller jurisdictions than states to find this.
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