Obvious junk, but I definitely think Espy is more likely to win than someone like Patrick Morrisey. Toss-up.
Stop.
He’s definitely not the "best fit" for the state or whatever, but he doesn’t have to be in order to win a low turnout runoff where Republicans stay home and Democrats/black voters are energized in a state where Dems already have a high floor. Meanwhile, there’s no indication whatsoever that WV is even semi-competitive at this point.
Morrisey is well within striking distance, and if I was him, I'd be feeling just fine right now.
Last public poll had Manchin up 12.