MS Special-McDaniel Internal/A2P: McDaniel +8 in jungle primary

[MT Treasurer]

Obvious junk, but I definitely think Espy is more likely to win than someone like Patrick Morrisey. Toss-up.

[MT Treasurer]

Obvious junk, but I definitely think Espy is more likely to win than someone like Patrick Morrisey. Toss-up.

Stop.

He’s definitely not the "best fit" for the state or whatever, but he doesn’t have to be in order to win a low turnout runoff where Republicans stay home and Democrats/black voters are energized in a state where Dems already have a high floor. Meanwhile, there’s no indication whatsoever that WV is even semi-competitive at this point.

[MT Treasurer]

Morrisey is well within striking distance, and if I was him, I'd be feeling just fine right now.

No recent poll has shown him within striking distance, and I could definitely see this staying D even if Republicans massively outperform expectations (it’s even less likely to flip than MT at this point, tbh). Morrisey is a Raese-tier candidate, Manchin already won against a weak opponent in a R wave year, WV elected a Democratic governor while Trump was carrying the state by 42 points, the midterm electorate in a state like WV is generally more Democratic-leaning, etc. etc.