MS Special-McDaniel Internal/A2P: McDaniel +8 in jungle primary

[IceSpear]

One of the junkiest polls I've ever seen, LOL.

[IceSpear]

Bookmark this one.  It's a contender for worst poll of the cycle.

I doubt they called a single person.

[IceSpear]

I can see a McDaniel/Hyde-Smith runoff, but even in that scenario, Espy would doing better than 19%.

Uh, no. This is literally impossible unless you think Espy is going to fall below 33% of the vote. Even that random truck driver running against Bryant got 32%.

[IceSpear]

Obvious junk, but I definitely think Espy is more likely to win than someone like Patrick Morrisey. Toss-up.

Stop.

He’s definitely not the "best fit" for the state or whatever, but he doesn’t have to be in order to win a low turnout runoff where Republicans stay home and Democrats/black voters are energized in a state where Dems already have a high floor. Meanwhile, there’s no indication whatsoever that WV is even semi-competitive at this point.

Morrisey is well within striking distance, and if I was him, I'd be feeling just fine right now.

Last public poll had Manchin up 12.

The last public poll was Emerson, so...

The last remotely acceptable ones had him up 6-8.

[IceSpear]

Since we're posting fake polls, I decided to make one of my own! I just came up with what I feel are the appropriate top lines and then tried to guess the crosstabs by party - and lo and behold, I was spot on with Hyde-Smith and Epsy (and only 4 off with McDaniel), which means I'm definitely a better pollster than "whoever" McDaniel's team used. Enjoy!

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Your "poll" is definitely much better than theirs. At least you have crosstabs! Also it "looks about right", which is an essential factor for poll quality.