2018 New Brunswick election

[mileslunn]

It's official Blaine Higgs will be the next premier of New Brunswick.  So looking at the three elections this year, a great year if you are a conservative.  3 for 3 (I consider CAQ a small c conservative) while a disaster if a Liberal having the worst showing since confederation in the two largest provinces while losing after one term in New Brunswick.  Off course that doesn't mean Trudeau will necessarily lose, if you look at Canada's history more often than not, provincial premiers tend to be of different ideologies than the federal government so having progressive governments dominating at all levels was bound to change.  Having mostly conservative premiers with a progressive prime minister in many ways sort of achieves the balance if you are a swing voter and I suspect once the Tories return to power, you will soon after see many provincial governments swing leftward. 

For the NDP sort of a mixed bag but I guess you could say a reasonably good year as Ontario is really the only province they are much of a factor in; in Quebec and New Brunswick they've always been rather weak.  A great year for the Greens too as they won their first seat in Ontario while New Brunswick will join BC in being the first two provinces to elect multiple Green members.

[Harlow]

A great year for the Greens too as they won their first seat in Ontario while New Brunswick will join BC in being the first two provinces to elect multiple Green members.

PEI also has two Green members, since Hannah Bell was elected in a by-election in Charlottetown-Parkdale last year.

[mileslunn]

MQO research has first post election poll.  Slight uptick for PCs, major fall for Liberals, surge for Greens, while PANB flat.

PC 36%
Liberal 29%
Green 21%
PANB 11%

[DC Al Fine]

Mmm, Tories ought to be able to pull a majority on those #'s

[the506]

Gallant resigning as Liberal leader.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/liberal-leader-brian-gallant-new-brunswick-election-1.4906417

[mileslunn]

Gallant resigning as Liberal leader.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/liberal-leader-brian-gallant-new-brunswick-election-1.4906417

Wonder if he will resign his seat too.  He says not, but it is a very safe Liberal one so no risk of it flipping.  Up until now, he has more or less followed the exact footsteps Christy Clark did so seems like deja vu all over again, so if he doesn't do this that would be the one break.