MD-Goucher: Hogan +22

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hogan is moderate enough on guns, Jealous is too liberal on taxes. If Van Hollen was running with Jealous this would be a close race. I wish Mfume was in the seat instead of Cardin😁

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems are doing well in FL, and Hogan is a moderate, anyways just like Ehrlich who won, too.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

But muh Solid said it's a Tossup because Maryland

Obviously, this is Likely/Safe R, and nowhere near as likely to flip as Oklahoma. Hogan could win by double digits.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hogan is moderate enough on guns, Jealous is too liberal on taxes. If Van Hollen was running with Jealous this would be a close race. I wish Mfume was in the seat instead of Cardin😁

Why would Van Hollen want to give up a Senate seat to be Governor of Maryland?
Though I sometimes wish Van Hollen hadn't run for Senate in 2016, because I think he'd now be the clear favorite for Speaker of the House next year.

I didn't say that. If Van Hollen was in the the class that Cardin was in, and Cardin was in the same class of SENATORS Van Hollen, it would be easier for Jealous to win. Cardin attracts the same type of voters Hogan does and Van Hollen attracts Jealous voters😀

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I would have rather had Mfume than Cardin. Mfume would have carried the day for Jealous and would be a more pro active Senator, can't wait til he retires

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems I doubt won't have another 2010, under a Dem prez, due the Senate map being so tilted against GOP in 2022 and that give Dems more chances for Gov pickups

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Again, Cardin attracts the same voters as Hogan does. Van Hollen, Barbara Mikulski and Donna Edwards attract Jealous voters. Dems have to wait this one out. Blacks aren't enthusiastic enough to vote out Hogan with Cardin on ballot. If otherwise Van Hollen was on the ballot, and will vote for Hogan

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Cardin has been disappointing

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Van Hollen, Barbara Ann Mikulski and Paul Sarbanes, especially Sarbanes who is a supper lefty went into Black communities and garnered their support. Cardin hasn't done such a thing and the status Quo will remain with Hogan😶

With 28% black, you have to galvanize them, who aren't registered to vote