WI Marquette: Baldwin up 53-42 over Vukmir
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 04:21:59 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls
  WI Marquette: Baldwin up 53-42 over Vukmir
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: WI Marquette: Baldwin up 53-42 over Vukmir  (Read 3251 times)
Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,761


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 18, 2018, 12:24:18 PM »
« edited: September 18, 2018, 12:35:12 PM by Cruz Will Win 👁 »

I am watching it from their livestream, seems like it is not uploaded yet on their website (now on twitter):



Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 18, 2018, 12:27:18 PM »

Baldwin was never going to lose in a year like this, much less to someone like Vukmir. Even a polling error like the one in 2016 wouldn't be enough for her to lose.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 18, 2018, 12:29:04 PM »

Baldwin was never going to lose in a year like this, much less to someone like Vukmir. Even a polling error like the one in 2016 wouldn't be enough for her to lose.

I’m not sure man, I was told she’s more vulnerable than Tester.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 18, 2018, 12:42:25 PM »

Looks like the Curse of Joe McCarthy will survive another 6 years.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 18, 2018, 12:48:17 PM »

Baldwin was never going to lose in a year like this, much less to someone like Vukmir. Even a polling error like the one in 2016 wouldn't be enough for her to lose.

I’m not sure man, I was told she’s more vulnerable than Tester.

Well, of course she is. Sanders is more vulnerable than Titanium Tester.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 18, 2018, 01:00:33 PM »

Safe D, Baldwin was never going to lose in a Trump midterm.

Still remember when people thought Sean Duffy would win this race, lmao.
Logged
Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,611
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 18, 2018, 01:53:41 PM »

I wouldn't be surprised if Vukmir's ads have actually hurt her with voters rather than helped. She campaigns like she's in a red state.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 18, 2018, 02:47:48 PM »

Looks about right, maybe a wee too friendly, I expect Baldwin to win by around 8. Against Nicholson maybe 5 or 6.
Logged
Beet
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,804


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 18, 2018, 02:51:43 PM »

I wouldn't be surprised if Vukmir's ads have actually hurt her with voters rather than helped. She campaigns like she's in a red state.

She is.

Anyway, Baldwin being over 50 is good news for her. The fact that it's a Marquette poll is good news for Vukmir, since Marquette had Clinton leading in '16.
Logged
Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,611
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 18, 2018, 03:06:46 PM »

I wouldn't be surprised if Vukmir's ads have actually hurt her with voters rather than helped. She campaigns like she's in a red state.

She is.

Anyway, Baldwin being over 50 is good news for her. The fact that it's a Marquette poll is good news for Vukmir, since Marquette had Clinton leading in '16.

Go ahead, keep embarrassing yourself.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,964
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 18, 2018, 03:11:10 PM »

lolbeet
Logged
JA
Jacobin American
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,956
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 18, 2018, 03:59:39 PM »

I wouldn't be surprised if Vukmir's ads have actually hurt her with voters rather than helped. She campaigns like she's in a red state.

She is.

Logged
Beet
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,804


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 18, 2018, 04:00:50 PM »

Wisconsin has a GOP state assembly, GOP state senate, GOP governorship, and votes GOP for president. How in the blazing h_ll is it a blue state? It is red by every conceivable measure except for one Democratic Senator, and by that standard Montana is a blue state.
Logged
Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,761


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 18, 2018, 04:03:52 PM »

Wisconsin has a GOP state assembly, GOP state senate, GOP governorship, and votes GOP for president. How in the blazing h_ll is it a blue state? It is red by every conceivable measure except for one Democratic Senator, and by that standard Montana is a blue state.

There is such thing as a ...

Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 18, 2018, 04:04:54 PM »

Wisconsin has a GOP state assembly, GOP state senate, GOP governorship, and votes GOP for president. How in the blazing h_ll is it a blue state? It is red by every conceivable measure except for one Democratic Senator, and by that standard Montana is a blue state.

Shut the heck up everyone criticizing beet! Let them think that it is a red state and treat it like a red state!
Logged
DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,929
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 18, 2018, 04:09:01 PM »

Beet thinks he's a psychiatrist and has a created a whole psychological profile that exonerates Kavanaugh. That should tell you to ignore him.
Logged
Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,856
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 18, 2018, 04:12:38 PM »

Wisconsin has a GOP state assembly, GOP state senate, GOP governorship, and votes GOP for president. How in the blazing h_ll is it a blue state? It is red by every conceivable measure except for one Democratic Senator, and by that standard Montana is a blue state.

Wisconsin's state government seems primed to swing against the party that controls the White House, and it did just that under Obama, although the legislative maps were pretty thoroughly gerrymandered and that neutered the Democrats' chances of flipping it back. This is all pretty well documented. I'm not sure what the popular vote totals were for the Assembly/state Senate races, but I'd wager they were similar to the US House popular vote for Wisconsin, which alternated between Rs winning it in midterms and Democrats winning it in presidential years. Sounds like purple state behavior to me.

You're investing too much in state govt control. Democrats controlled a bunch of state govts in the South, including the legislatures, but had long stopped winning them at the presidential level, and they got booted out en masse under Obama. Many of them hardly qualified as Democratic states before that even if Democrats had a lot of residual power.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: September 18, 2018, 05:48:32 PM »

Remember when this was the "top Senate race of 2018?"
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: September 18, 2018, 05:53:27 PM »

Remember when this was the "top Senate race of 2018?"

Pepperidge farms also remember when Walker wasn't even vulnerable.
Logged
Scottholes 2.0
Wisconsinite
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 905
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: September 19, 2018, 01:28:22 PM »

Vukmir is dull. I'm actually shocked she even won the nomination. She's also a horrible state senator.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: November 11, 2018, 07:36:18 PM »

Gold standard!
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.052 seconds with 13 queries.