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December 05, 2020, 12:17:51 PM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  WI Marquette: Baldwin up 53-42 over Vukmir
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Author Topic: WI Marquette: Baldwin up 53-42 over Vukmir  (Read 2158 times)
Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️
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« on: September 18, 2018, 12:24:18 PM »
« edited: September 18, 2018, 12:35:12 PM by Cruz Will Win 👁 »

I am watching it from their livestream, seems like it is not uploaded yet on their website (now on twitter):



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xingkerui
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« Reply #1 on: September 18, 2018, 12:27:18 PM »

Baldwin was never going to lose in a year like this, much less to someone like Vukmir. Even a polling error like the one in 2016 wouldn't be enough for her to lose.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #2 on: September 18, 2018, 12:29:04 PM »

Baldwin was never going to lose in a year like this, much less to someone like Vukmir. Even a polling error like the one in 2016 wouldn't be enough for her to lose.

Iím not sure man, I was told sheís more vulnerable than Tester.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: September 18, 2018, 12:42:25 PM »

Looks like the Curse of Joe McCarthy will survive another 6 years.
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xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: September 18, 2018, 12:48:17 PM »

Baldwin was never going to lose in a year like this, much less to someone like Vukmir. Even a polling error like the one in 2016 wouldn't be enough for her to lose.

Iím not sure man, I was told sheís more vulnerable than Tester.

Well, of course she is. Sanders is more vulnerable than Titanium Tester.
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President Biden
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« Reply #5 on: September 18, 2018, 01:00:33 PM »

Safe D, Baldwin was never going to lose in a Trump midterm.

Still remember when people thought Sean Duffy would win this race, lmao.
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Neoliberalism Is The Enemy Of Civilization
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« Reply #6 on: September 18, 2018, 01:53:41 PM »

I wouldn't be surprised if Vukmir's ads have actually hurt her with voters rather than helped. She campaigns like she's in a red state.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #7 on: September 18, 2018, 02:47:48 PM »

Looks about right, maybe a wee too friendly, I expect Baldwin to win by around 8. Against Nicholson maybe 5 or 6.
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Beet
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« Reply #8 on: September 18, 2018, 02:51:43 PM »

I wouldn't be surprised if Vukmir's ads have actually hurt her with voters rather than helped. She campaigns like she's in a red state.

She is.

Anyway, Baldwin being over 50 is good news for her. The fact that it's a Marquette poll is good news for Vukmir, since Marquette had Clinton leading in '16.
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Neoliberalism Is The Enemy Of Civilization
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« Reply #9 on: September 18, 2018, 03:06:46 PM »

I wouldn't be surprised if Vukmir's ads have actually hurt her with voters rather than helped. She campaigns like she's in a red state.

She is.

Anyway, Baldwin being over 50 is good news for her. The fact that it's a Marquette poll is good news for Vukmir, since Marquette had Clinton leading in '16.

Go ahead, keep embarrassing yourself.
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Cosmopolitanism Will Win
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« Reply #10 on: September 18, 2018, 03:11:10 PM »

lolbeet
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Jacobin
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« Reply #11 on: September 18, 2018, 03:59:39 PM »

I wouldn't be surprised if Vukmir's ads have actually hurt her with voters rather than helped. She campaigns like she's in a red state.

She is.

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Beet
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« Reply #12 on: September 18, 2018, 04:00:50 PM »

Wisconsin has a GOP state assembly, GOP state senate, GOP governorship, and votes GOP for president. How in the blazing h_ll is it a blue state? It is red by every conceivable measure except for one Democratic Senator, and by that standard Montana is a blue state.
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Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️
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« Reply #13 on: September 18, 2018, 04:03:52 PM »

Wisconsin has a GOP state assembly, GOP state senate, GOP governorship, and votes GOP for president. How in the blazing h_ll is it a blue state? It is red by every conceivable measure except for one Democratic Senator, and by that standard Montana is a blue state.

There is such thing as a ...

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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #14 on: September 18, 2018, 04:04:54 PM »

Wisconsin has a GOP state assembly, GOP state senate, GOP governorship, and votes GOP for president. How in the blazing h_ll is it a blue state? It is red by every conceivable measure except for one Democratic Senator, and by that standard Montana is a blue state.

Shut the heck up everyone criticizing beet! Let them think that it is a red state and treat it like a red state!
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DrScholl
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« Reply #15 on: September 18, 2018, 04:09:01 PM »

Beet thinks he's a psychiatrist and has a created a whole psychological profile that exonerates Kavanaugh. That should tell you to ignore him.
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VirginiŠ
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« Reply #16 on: September 18, 2018, 04:12:38 PM »

Wisconsin has a GOP state assembly, GOP state senate, GOP governorship, and votes GOP for president. How in the blazing h_ll is it a blue state? It is red by every conceivable measure except for one Democratic Senator, and by that standard Montana is a blue state.

Wisconsin's state government seems primed to swing against the party that controls the White House, and it did just that under Obama, although the legislative maps were pretty thoroughly gerrymandered and that neutered the Democrats' chances of flipping it back. This is all pretty well documented. I'm not sure what the popular vote totals were for the Assembly/state Senate races, but I'd wager they were similar to the US House popular vote for Wisconsin, which alternated between Rs winning it in midterms and Democrats winning it in presidential years. Sounds like purple state behavior to me.

You're investing too much in state govt control. Democrats controlled a bunch of state govts in the South, including the legislatures, but had long stopped winning them at the presidential level, and they got booted out en masse under Obama. Many of them hardly qualified as Democratic states before that even if Democrats had a lot of residual power.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #17 on: September 18, 2018, 05:48:32 PM »

Remember when this was the "top Senate race of 2018?"
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xingkerui
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« Reply #18 on: September 18, 2018, 05:53:27 PM »

Remember when this was the "top Senate race of 2018?"

Pepperidge farms also remember when Walker wasn't even vulnerable.
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Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #19 on: September 19, 2018, 01:28:22 PM »

Vukmir is dull. I'm actually shocked she even won the nomination. She's also a horrible state senator.
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President Biden
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« Reply #20 on: November 11, 2018, 07:36:18 PM »

Gold standard!
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