TX Quinnipiac: Cruz leads Beto by 9, 54-45

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Although I think Cruz is obvious ahead of Beto... I think it is much closer than this poll.

A few points to consider-

If you look on RealClearPolitics poll history- All 3 Quinnipiac polls give Cruz a larger lead than the other polls (taken around a similar time period)... so not sure if their list/ methods are slightly skewed towards Cruz voters?

Beto is closer in RV polls than he is in LV polls (if Beto has really been able to energize voters in Texas ... this election may be more closely represented by a RV poll).

Similar to above- if Beto has really energized a large number of young and new voters (by going to every part of the state, campaigning in overdrive, etc... these polls are much more likely to under sample younger & new voters and undersample cell phone only voters).

I think a 4 point race recent polls are more likely representative of the current state of the race.  And that Beto still has a very outside chance to eek out a win if there are turnout rates among young, new, and low propensity voters that are rates that only happen in the once-every-20-years type of time frame.

....not sure if this is expected or not- but I was a little surprised to see Beto only leading 54-45 among Hispanic voters (since he has supposedly had the most increase in energized voters along the border areas)?  Also- in the same poll Hispanics in the Governors race  Abbott:49  Valdez:45.

...Also- in the poll Cruz has approval and favorability/approval rating at least 4-5 point better than Coryn, Trump and Beto?  (seems like they may have fallen into a batch of Cruz voters... or Cruz voters were eager to answer the survey after "Texas Senate is close" news stories the past  week or two)?

Job approval ratings:
Cruz: 53-44 (favorability is 52-43)
Coryn: 49-36
Trump: 49-49

Beto (favorability is 43-42)

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Does it seem likely that Valdez (1st Latina major party nominee for Governor in Texas) isn't ahead of Abbott among Hispanic voters (per the same poll.. which has Abbott leading among Hispanic voters 49-45)?