Which race does Rosendale have a better chance of winning? This Senate race or NH-SEN 2020?
Oof, both states are elastic libertarian havens, but I’d say NH-SEN, not just because Shaheen is a much weaker incumbent, but because NH at least has a few pretty Republican towns, whereas in Montana even hardcore Republicans are pretty much swing voters who only care about small government and have pretty libertarian views in general, but particularly on social issues. Honestly, Seattle is arguably more conservative than rural Montana, tbh.