Early & Absentee Voting Megathread - Build the Freiwal

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Day 1 early Voting in Broward County - 16,202 voters. Day 1 in 2014,  6,459 voters.

https://www.browardsoe.org/Portals/Broward/Images/EVGeneral2018Day.pdf


https://www.browardsoe.org/Portals/Broward/Documents/ElectionInformation/2014_General_Election_E205__Early_Voting_Totals.pdf

What was it in 2016?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

First day of early voting here in Volusia County:

3,068   Republicans
2,774       Democrats
1,344       NPA/OTHER

Total: 7,186

Mail-in ballots:
25,192          Republicans
21,338          Democrats
11,772          NPA/OTHER

Total: 58,302

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Another 5,100 people have early voted today here in Volusia County, much favorable to Democrats now

Early vote totals:
Democrats - 4,969
Republicans - 4,968
NPA/OTHER - 2,307

TOTAL: 12,244

VBM total:
26,340 Republicans
22,273 Democrats
12,381 NPA/OTHER

TOTAL: 60,994

Total votes cast so far: 73,238

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Another 5,100 people have early voted today here in Volusia County, much favorable to Democrats now

Early vote totals:
Democrats - 4,969
Republicans - 4,968
NPA/OTHER - 2,307

TOTAL: 12,244

VBM total:
26,340 Republicans
22,273 Democrats
12,381 NPA/OTHER

TOTAL: 60,994

Total votes cast so far: 73,238

As a local, how do you think look there?

Much more Democratic, I work on Gillum's campaign here, there's a LOT more enthusiasm for Gillum than Nelson, I think they'll keep Volusia close, but I think in the end DeSantis and Scott will win Volusia, I do hope I am wrong though, most of the cross over vote seems to be going to Nancy Soderberg.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Another 5,100 people have early voted today here in Volusia County, much favorable to Democrats now

Early vote totals:
Democrats - 4,969
Republicans - 4,968
NPA/OTHER - 2,307

TOTAL: 12,244

VBM total:
26,340 Republicans
22,273 Democrats
12,381 NPA/OTHER

TOTAL: 60,994

Total votes cast so far: 73,238

As a local, how do you think look there?

Much more Democratic, I work on Gillum's campaign here, there's a LOT more enthusiasm for Gillum than Nelson, I think they'll keep Volusia close, but I think in the end DeSantis and Scott will win Volusia, I do hope I am wrong though, most of the cross over vote seems to be going to Nancy Soderberg.

As a local in general who do you think EV overall looks?

Early voting is already through the roof compared to 2014, but Democrats won the in-person EV in 2014 by about 1,000 votes, right now things are looking good for us overall, but it;s still way too early to tell.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Day 3 of early voting here in Volusia:

7,171 votes were cast in person today,  yesterday Dems had a 1 vote advantage, today the GOP ended with up 285 votes

Vote totals:

VBM:
Total Returned - 60,994
Democrats - 22,273
Republicans - 26,340
Other - 12,381

In-person:
Republicans - 8,025
Democrats - 7,740
Other - 3,650
Total: 19,415

Total votes cast/mailed as of day 3: 80,409

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Total early voting results so far here in FL:

Republicans:  1,760,354 - 39.3%
Democrats: 1,821,290 - 40.7%
NPA/OTHER: 897,830 - 20%

Total so far: 4,479,474

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Total early voting results so far here in FL:

Republicans:  1,760,354 - 39.3%
Democrats: 1,821,290 - 40.7%
NPA/OTHER: 897,830 - 20%

Total so far: 4,479,474

Where did you get this from? This is higher than I've seen else were.

https://countyballotfiles.elections.myflorida.com/FVRSCountyBallotReports/AbsenteeEarlyVotingReports/PublicStats

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Total early voting results so far here in FL:

Republicans:  1,760,354 - 39.3%
Democrats: 1,821,290 - 40.7%
NPA/OTHER: 897,830 - 20%

Total so far: 4,479,474

Where did you get this from? This is higher than I've seen else were.

https://countyballotfiles.elections.myflorida.com/FVRSCountyBallotReports/AbsenteeEarlyVotingReports/PublicStats

You're including VBMs that haven't returned ballots yet.

Oof yeah I just realized that.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Another 7,500 people voted here today in Volusia County.

VBM total:
28,897 - Republicans
24,474 - Democrats
13,863 - NPA

67,234 - Total VBM ballots returned so far

In person early voting:
13,983 - Republicans
13,256 - Democrats
6,719 - NPA

34,228 - total in person ballots cast so far

Total votes in so far: 101,462

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

https://twitter.com/hdl_perspective/status/1058119933438103552

Holy hell!

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

how do you think the ev is going for dems in az and fl?

Republicans are turning out in Florida. Some people are comparing this to 2014 and Democrats are doing much better than 2014. But the election is energized and somewhere between a midterm and presidential.

Based on party registration alone I haven't been impressed at all with what Democrats have already turned out in the EV.

I mean, the GOP always turns out better in FL, the bright side is Democrats are keeping it close and based on polling, the NPA's should be breaking for Democrats

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1058448654783168514

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1058470212121583617

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

We're at 123K votes here in Volusia County, we're at 71% of 2016's early vote turnout, we can expect another 14-16k votes from in person votes and maybe another 10-15K VBM ballots, if that is the case were could be anywhere from 86-91% of 2016's early vote

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1058513670982922241

Clark already hit 35K. Looks like it will top 40K, could it reach 45K?

If it does, and Democrats get a strong margin, the freiwal could come close to or hit 45K, and Democrats could come close to a statewide lead of 20K.

The Clark freiwall is getting bigger!

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

INJECT THIS INTO MY VEINS!

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

https://twitter.com/alecbwhite/status/1058562615310307328

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

So does anyone know off hand what the # was for the last day of early voting in Clark County in 2016? Any chance of beating that now?

57,177

https://www.clarkcountynv.gov/election/Pages/ElectionHistory.aspx

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Currently, 4.5 million votes have been cast so far (since last update at 4 pm) here in Florida, the GOP has ~58K vote lead so far.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Currently, 4.5 million votes have been cast so far (since last update at 4 pm) here in Florida, the GOP has ~58K vote lead so far.

good or bad for dems?

2016 had 6.4 million votes cast early and Democrats had a lead of ~80k, in the end it all depends on how NPA's break.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

If Souls to the Polls is strong today, Democrats could overtake the GOP

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Democrats are going to have a pretty good day today in Florida, looks like super high turnout in the counties that are open.

Yeah it looks pretty crazy, but Reps will have the advantage on ED according to Schale (not sure why). Hopefully Democrats can keep it close on the 6th.

Democrats tend to early vote while Republicans are more traditional and wait until actual Election Day to vote.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Democrats are going to have a pretty good day today in Florida, looks like super high turnout in the counties that are open.

Yeah it looks pretty crazy, but Reps will have the advantage on ED according to Schale (not sure why). Hopefully Democrats can keep it close on the 6th.

Democrats tend to early vote while Republicans are more traditional and wait until actual Election Day to vote.

I have to question that CW with the special elections we've been seeing in Florida this cycle though. Democrats actually did better on e-day than in the early vote in most of the specials..

Yeah, this year has been different, I wonder if that pattern will hold this year.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Man Pizza To the Polls have been a great thing this year