Early & Absentee Voting Megathread - Build the Freiwal (user search)
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Author Topic: Early & Absentee Voting Megathread - Build the Freiwal  (Read 129032 times)
eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

« on: October 29, 2018, 04:12:55 AM »
« edited: October 29, 2018, 07:02:35 AM by eric82oslo »

Top 10 early voting states so far compared to 2014 totals:

1. Tennessee: 151.9% (Taylor Swift effect?)
2. Texas: 136.1% (Beto effect?)
3. Indiana: 127.9%
4. Nevada: 114.4%
5. Georgia: 108.8%
6. Minnesota: 106%
7. Delaware: 103.2%
8. North Carolina: 94.9%
9. New Mexico: 93.5%
10. Montana & Louisiana: 87.6%

35th and last: Oregon at 23.9%

Only 35 states have numbers/percentages so far. I guess most of the other states (including Arizona) don't have early voting or it hasn't started yet.

Numbers from electproject.org
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eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2018, 08:47:53 PM »

If you look at the early votes in Tennessee so far, by far the biggest increase of voting since 2014 has come in the biggest counties.

Here are the percentage point increases in Tennessee's six biggest counties compared to 2014 tallies:

1. Shelby: +205.2%
2. Davidson: +256.2%
3. Knox: +177.1%
4. Williamson: +251.9%
5. Hamilton: +222.5%
6. Rutherford: +202%

Together these six counties make up almost half of all statewide votes cast so far, or 458,000 out of a total of 968,000.

The statewide average has been +183.1% so far, with some smaller counties not even having reached a +100% increase so far.

Source: ElectProject on Twitter
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eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2018, 06:42:20 AM »

Top 20 voting states so far compared to 2014 totals (12 of them have already exceeded the 2014 totals with several days still to go):

1. Tennessee: 170.5%
2. Texas: 162.3%
3. Nevada: 142.1%
4. Maryland: 142%
5. Georgia: 140.8%
6. Indiana: 127.9%
7. North Carolina: 109%
8. Minnesota: 106%
9. Louisiana: 104.1%
10. Virginia: 104%
11. New Mexico: 103.6%
12. Delaware: 103.2%

13. Montana: 98%
14. Illinois: 97%
15. South Carolina: 96.6%
16. Florida: 96.4%
17. Arizona: 92.7%
18. Wisconsin: 90.2%
19. West Virginia: 86.8%
20. Michigan: 85.9%

Bottom 5 so far:

34. Pennsylvania: 40%
35. Oregon: 38.7%
36. Vermont: 30.9%
37. Alaska: 30.8%
38. Hawaii: 16.6%

Still no numbers from these 12 states: Alabama, Arkansas, Connecticut, Kentucky, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, South Dakota & Utah

A bit disappointed in Arizona so far. Florida is also not that high, but it might be due to the devastating hurricane and its aftermath. Alaska has a very close governor's race, so it just have to increase a lot in the coming days.
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