Most accurate recient final senate poll by state
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  Most accurate recient final senate poll by state
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Author Topic: Most accurate recient final senate poll by state  (Read 343 times)
Former President tack50
tack50
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« on: November 07, 2018, 11:18:48 AM »

Pretty much what it says. Looking at the ones RCP used to do their average and assuming no changes whatsoever from now on. Also only looking at polls done at least partially in October at the earliest:

ME: Pan-Atlantic
VT: Gravis
MA: Western NE University
RI: UNH
CT: Emerson
NY: Quinnipiac
NJ: Stockton University
PA: Morning Call
DE: No polls in October
MD: Gonzales Research (only poll in October)
VA: No polls in October
WV: Emerson/Metro News tie
FL: Trafalgar /Harris X tie
TN: Fox News
OH: Emerson
IN: CBS News-YouGov
MS-Regular: NBC News-Marist (only poll in October)
MS-Special: NBC News-Marist (only poll in October)
MI: Trafalgar Group (R)
WI: Marquette
MO: Trafalgar Group (R)
MN-Regular: KSTP-SurveyUSA and Star Tribune-Mason Dixon (only 2 polls in October, both with the same margin)
MN-Special: KSTP-SurveyUSA
ND: Fox News / Trafalgar Group (R) (only 2 final polls, both with the same margin)
NE: No polls according to RCP
TX: Emerson
MT: Trafalgar Group (R)
WY: No polls according to RCP
NM: KOB-TV
UT: Salt Lake Tribune (only poll in October)
AZ: ABC15-OH Predictive Insights
NV: Emerson
WA: Elway Poll (only poll in October, or at all)
CA: Berkeley IGS
HI: No polls according to RCP
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2018, 11:24:29 AM »

All hail Trafalgar
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2018, 11:29:08 AM »

They did well in 2016 as well.
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Former President tack50
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2018, 11:43:37 AM »


Yup, apparently Trafalgar and Emerson are the new gold standard.

Also, >Gravis was the most accurate pollster in Vermont. Just mentioning it because of the meme here (though VT almost barely got polled for obvious reasons)
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