MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7 (user search)
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  MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7  (Read 2466 times)
they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 112,701
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« on: September 13, 2018, 11:53:22 AM »

Glad they polled the AG race. Looks like Ellison should be able to pull through on coattails. Worth noting SUSA has historically had an R lean in MN.
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they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 112,701
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #1 on: September 14, 2018, 12:28:12 AM »

God why did these idiots have to pick Ellison after these allegations? Regardless of whether they were true or not he was already a weak candidate and now even weaker.

Extremely weak field.

For the record I didn't vote for him, although was undecided that morning. I prayed for guidance in the voting booth, after filling out every other office and asked God to guide me on what to do.

He probably still wins though. Note all the Republicans are at about the same number. Probably the lowest performing statewide Dem candidate this year though.
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they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 112,701
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #2 on: September 14, 2018, 12:31:12 PM »

Good for Walz. Minnesota is not turning red like people think it is.
The legislature will be brutal, though. DFL strength is increasingly a Twin Cities Metro-only thing and that will bite them in the butt to only focus there.

Please tell me what legislative seats you expect the Republicans to pick up.
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they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 112,701
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #3 on: September 14, 2018, 12:48:41 PM »

Good for Walz. Minnesota is not turning red like people think it is.
The legislature will be brutal, though. DFL strength is increasingly a Twin Cities Metro-only thing and that will bite them in the butt to only focus there.

Please tell me what legislative seats you expect the Republicans to pick up.
Whatever DFL hold-outs are left in the outstate. If not 2018, then 2020 during a presidential year.  Rurals/humble workers are being tossed out of the party in droves.

You think Mankato, Rochester and Duluth sears are going to flip? LOL.

There's only three State Senate seats held by the DFL out if the metro or Iron Range, and two are based around liberal college urban areas. Only one in the NE isn't based around the Duluth area and it just barely voted for Trump with under 50. There's also only three Trump voting State House districts held by the DFL, one of which was just barely and caused by an!tty college turnout.

You should actually research the elected bodies you make these big sweeping statements about before doing so.
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they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 112,701
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #4 on: September 14, 2018, 02:10:23 PM »

I should bump this after Walz wins that area and all the incumbents are re-elected in November.
Logged
they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 112,701
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #5 on: September 14, 2018, 04:03:43 PM »

If anything, can we expect Dems to pick up some seats in the area?

No because the DFL already holds all seats in the area. More info here (will be updated this weekend): https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=300082.0

5A is a possible pickup, but its not really the Iron Range. And I'm a bit concerned about that one because it did vote for Stewart Mills in 2014. Not by a lot but still...Stewart Mills.

The area hofoid is trolling about barely voted for Trump, did not give him a majority and voted for all its DFL incumbents in landslides.
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