#BothSides (myself included) overreact to all the polling. Bottom-line is that most if not all of the toss-ups are averaged within the MOE, but just like in other years about 80% of them will break one way or the other at the last minute.
I'm betting on that break favoring the Democrats.
This is the correct take.
Though some don't real get ran away with. Nevada and Colorado have seen pretty intense toss ups until election day. Then again, there were plenty of years where there were many close races that turned out to be a landslide.
