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  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  AZ-Sen(FOX): Sinema +3
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Author Topic: AZ-Sen(FOX): Sinema +3  (Read 1068 times)
Ebsy
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« on: September 12, 2018, 05:35:29 pm »

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2018/09/12/fox-news-poll-women-gop-crossovers-help-democrat-in-arizona-senate-race.html

Sinema: 47
McSally: 44
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #1 on: September 12, 2018, 05:37:02 pm »

inb4 the people writing Sinema's obituary now crown her "Senator-elect" again. Anyway, this race is certainly looking interesting, to say the least.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #2 on: September 12, 2018, 05:43:24 pm »

Tossup with an edge towards Sinema.
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Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️
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« Reply #3 on: September 12, 2018, 05:45:57 pm »

The wave will carry Sinema to a narrow victory.
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #4 on: September 12, 2018, 05:47:04 pm »

#BothSides (myself included) overreact to all the polling. Bottom-line is that most if not all of the toss-ups are averaged within the MOE, but just like in other years about 80% of them will break one way or the other at the last minute.

I'm betting on that break favoring the Democrats.
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Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️
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« Reply #5 on: September 12, 2018, 05:50:28 pm »

#BothSides (myself included) overreact to all the polling. Bottom-line is that most if not all of the toss-ups are averaged within the MOE, but just like in other years about 80% of them will break one way or the other at the last minute.

I'm betting on that break favoring the Democrats.

This is the correct take.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #6 on: September 12, 2018, 05:57:12 pm »

Can you believe we got like 4 Arizona polls in one day
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Skye
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« Reply #7 on: September 12, 2018, 06:07:27 pm »

TOSSSSSSSSSSSSSSUUUUUUUUUUPPPPPPPPPPPPP.

Fox is a more decent pollster than the previous 2.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #8 on: September 12, 2018, 07:33:17 pm »

inb4 the people writing Sinema's obituary now crown her "Senator-elect" again. Anyway, this race is certainly looking interesting, to say the least.
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10 minutes into Lysol, Tidepod, and chill..
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #9 on: September 12, 2018, 07:49:30 pm »

#BothSides (myself included) overreact to all the polling. Bottom-line is that most if not all of the toss-ups are averaged within the MOE, but just like in other years about 80% of them will break one way or the other at the last minute.

I'm betting on that break favoring the Democrats.

This is the correct take.

Though some don't real get ran away with. Nevada and Colorado have seen pretty intense toss ups until election day. Then again, there were plenty of years where there were many close races that turned out to be a landslide.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #10 on: September 12, 2018, 08:23:04 pm »

Sinema is leading by a small amount, but it is consistent with her overall lead. Tilt/Lean D
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Green Line
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« Reply #11 on: September 12, 2018, 08:24:17 pm »

Arizona is not going to elect a Democrat when they have a great moderate war hero like Martha on the ballot.  These polls are silly.
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Old School Republican
Computer89
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« Reply #12 on: September 12, 2018, 09:07:24 pm »

Arizona is not going to elect a Democrat when they have a great moderate war hero like Martha on the ballot.  These polls are silly.

Sinema is running as Republican lite though
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Webnicz
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« Reply #13 on: September 12, 2018, 10:21:50 pm »

McSally having higher unfavorability is interesting.

I guess we will find out tomorrow when the OH poll releases cross tabs if the "iraq war protester" ads work or not in lowering favorability. either that happens or they show completely different results which change nothing.
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