TX - CBS 11 / Dixie Strategies Poll: Cruz +4% (user search)
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  TX - CBS 11 / Dixie Strategies Poll: Cruz +4% (search mode)
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Author Topic: TX - CBS 11 / Dixie Strategies Poll: Cruz +4%  (Read 3461 times)
Virginiá
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« on: September 15, 2018, 07:55:24 PM »

All Summer these numbers haven't change much and Beto is running a leftist campaign. Cruz should win, unless it's a full blown wave. 31 net House seats may not be enough to wash over TX

Nope. Cruz has been steadily losing his lead month by month.

Average of May: Cruz +9
Average of June: Cruz +7.5
Average of July: Cruz +5.7
Average of August: Cruz +2.5

Interesting. I trust your statistics, but frankly it's felt like just about every poll results as head cruise up buy one to four points for a month or two now. Your statistics don't lie, but somehow it just doesn't feel like O'Rourke is gaining. Know what I mean?

Agreed, although I do think there has been some sort of trend towards Beto. Just not sure how much:



As you can see, we aren't exactly SUPER flush with polls, and the one repeat poll we've had from QP actually shows an increase on Cruz's margin (Cruz+3 in April to Cruz+6 in July). We need more data Sad

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

I hope they bomb Texas with polls in October so we can see whether or not Beto gets a surge during the final stretch as people make up their minds. That would, to me, indicate a potential win.
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