Heller isn’t quite DOA
yet since NV is one of the very few Clinton states where Republicans could theoretically still win a Senate race (especially in a midterm with lower Hispanic turnout), but unless the national environment improves for Republicans or they dramatically outperform expectations, he’ll definitely remain the most vulnerable Senator. Republicans couldn’t even win here with Heck in 2016, Heller has struggled to crack 40% in most polls (which is pathetic for a Republican in Nevada) and has terrible approval ratings, NV polling usually understates Democratic strength and Rosen is definitely a stronger candidate than Heller himself or the joke he only beat by 1 six years ago.
That said, her haircut is uninspiring, so Toss-up.