AZ-Gravis-Ducey+4
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Author Topic: AZ-Gravis-Ducey+4  (Read 835 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: September 09, 2018, 01:58:30 PM »
http://orlando-politics.com/2018/09/09/gravis-marketing-2018-battleground-poll-arizona/

Ducey 48
Garcia 44

Sep. 5-7, 882 likely voters
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: September 09, 2018, 02:01:36 PM »
Hispanic turnout is going to be a problem for Dems this year.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: September 09, 2018, 02:08:47 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on September 09, 2018, 02:01:36 PM
Hispanic turnout is going to be a problem for Dems this year.

Ducey is receiving a bump for the McCain funeral by his appointment of Jon Kyl, but the Senate race is a tossup.
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« Reply #3 on: September 09, 2018, 02:12:02 PM »
Tossup/Tilt D.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #4 on: September 09, 2018, 02:13:39 PM »
The fact that this poll also gave McSally a lead of one should be more worrying for Ducey.
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #5 on: September 09, 2018, 03:02:22 PM »
The voters that will win this for Garcia are not going to be polled. Tossup.
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Xing
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« Reply #6 on: September 09, 2018, 04:10:11 PM »
>Gravis

I'm still rating this Lean R for now, but I could see this going Democratic if Democrats have a very good night.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: September 09, 2018, 04:18:46 PM »
The McCain funeral has raised prospects for GOP in AZ, Dems do have NV & TN to fall back om
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #8 on: September 09, 2018, 04:19:03 PM »

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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #9 on: September 09, 2018, 04:31:08 PM »
Yep, still Lean R.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #10 on: September 09, 2018, 04:45:08 PM »
Alot of these races oversampling of Latinos combined with the sympathy vote for McCain,. However, Ducey survived a close race in 2014, he doesn't win big.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #11 on: September 09, 2018, 05:04:55 PM »
Quote from: Cory Booker on September 09, 2018, 04:18:46 PM
The McCain funeral has raised prospects for GOP in AZ, Dems do have NV & TN to fall back om
I hate you
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Zaybay
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« Reply #12 on: September 09, 2018, 06:32:13 PM »
This race is a pure tossup. As the poll shows, McSally and Ducey are rather tied together, with Ducey only preforming 3 points better. Its possible that Sinema will win by a modest margin, which will be enough to bring over Garcia.
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« Reply #13 on: September 09, 2018, 07:06:54 PM »
Quote from: Cory Booker on September 09, 2018, 04:18:46 PM
The McCain funeral has raised prospects for GOP in AZ, Dems do have NV & TN to fall back om
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #14 on: September 09, 2018, 07:37:25 PM »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 09, 2018, 04:10:11 PM
>Gravis

I'm still rating this Lean R for now, but I could see this going Democratic if Democrats have a very good night.

Hopefully we'll get some better quality polls in the near-future.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #15 on: September 09, 2018, 09:01:50 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on September 09, 2018, 07:37:25 PM
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 09, 2018, 04:10:11 PM
>Gravis

I'm still rating this Lean R for now, but I could see this going Democratic if Democrats have a very good night.

Hopefully we'll get some better quality polls in the near-future.

It's a change election and states won't vote the same way in presidential elections as opposed to statewide
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Blackacre
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« Reply #16 on: September 10, 2018, 11:00:42 AM »
IT'S GRAVIS. TOSS IT IN THE TRASH.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #17 on: September 10, 2018, 11:31:26 AM »
AZ isn't a solid Dem state yet like NV and CO are
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