Beet
Atlas Star
Posts: 28,802
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« on: September 10, 2018, 10:48:14 AM » |
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Arizona is not the same as GA-06. In GA-06, the previous Republican incumbent got 62% of the vote, and 66% before that, so a 51%-48% Handel win was already a massive Democratic swing. The Democratic candidate was 30 years old, had never held elected office, and was accused of padding his resume. More importantly, it's a very rich and highly educated district, which means the Trump margin was highly misleading. Arizona is a mostly working class state which approved a minimum wage increase at the same time Trump was winning. The issues here favor Sinema.
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