NYT LIVE POLL THREAD:
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Poll
Question: How would you rate the NYT/Siena House polls methodology
#1
A: Freedom Methodology		  
#2
B		  
#3
C		  
#4
D		  
#5
F: Horrible Methodology		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 139

Author Topic: NYT LIVE POLL THREAD:  (Read 138430 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #75 on: September 07, 2018, 07:58:22 PM »
Quote from: Predictor on September 07, 2018, 07:53:49 PM
Quote from: Cruz Will Win 👁 on September 07, 2018, 07:44:21 PM
The MN-03 poll has begun. 4 calls, 0 responses so far Cheesy
Up to 15 now with no responses!

Maybe everybody in Minnesota is busy on Friday night. Smiley
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #76 on: September 07, 2018, 07:58:33 PM »
OMG, to the people being called in MN 3rd please just say something already!
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Florida Man for Crime
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #77 on: September 07, 2018, 08:00:33 PM »
The first respondent in MN-03 is voting Republican.

Titanium Safe R MN-03, you heard it here first.

Paulsen is literally up 100% to 0%. No way such a large lead can be made up.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #78 on: September 07, 2018, 08:00:47 PM »
Quote from: Cruz Will Win 👁 on September 07, 2018, 08:00:33 PM
The first respondent in MN-03 is voting Republican.

Titanium Safe R MN-03, you heard it here first.

Indeed.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #79 on: September 07, 2018, 08:02:11 PM »
Wouldn't it be fun if actual election night returns worked like this?
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Predictor
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« Reply #80 on: September 07, 2018, 08:03:06 PM »
First respondent is a white 65+ year old woman who will vote Paulsen.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #81 on: September 07, 2018, 08:03:15 PM »


Paulsen's locked down the pink vote


She's also woke as hell
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Florida Man for Crime
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« Reply #82 on: September 07, 2018, 08:05:21 PM »
65+ white female on a cell phone non-college, HS grad or less, republican, almost certain to vote,prefers Republicans to retain the house, doesn't know if she supports assault weapon ban, disagrees that she feels like a stranger in her own country, disagrees that discrimination against whites has gotten as bad as against blacks, economic situation is better than parents, doesn't bother her to hear immigrants speak a foreign language in a public place, and doesn't know someone who has struggled with addiction to opiods.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #83 on: September 07, 2018, 08:05:51 PM »
NYT call center for MN 3rd live look
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Wisconsin SC Race 2019
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« Reply #84 on: September 07, 2018, 08:08:25 PM »
Quote from: Cruz Will Win 👁 on September 07, 2018, 08:05:21 PM
65+ white female on a cell phone non-college, HS grad or less, republican, almost certain to vote,prefers Republicans to retain the house, doesn't know if she supports assault weapon ban, disagrees that she feels like a stranger in her own country, disagrees that discrimination against whites has gotten as bad as against blacks, economic situation is better than parents, doesn't bother her to hear immigrants speak a foreign language in a public place, and doesn't know someone who has struggled with addiction to opiods.
Doesn't sound like a typical MN-03 resident.
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Florida Man for Crime
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« Reply #85 on: September 07, 2018, 08:08:29 PM »

Pretty much. It seems like they only have a single person calling, and it is not with computer-assisted dialing (I guess?)
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Florida Man for Crime
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« Reply #86 on: September 07, 2018, 08:09:48 PM »
Quote from: GOP-dominated Wisconsin on September 07, 2018, 08:08:25 PM
Quote from: Cruz Will Win 👁 on September 07, 2018, 08:05:21 PM
65+ white female on a cell phone non-college, HS grad or less, republican, almost certain to vote,prefers Republicans to retain the house, doesn't know if she supports assault weapon ban, disagrees that she feels like a stranger in her own country, disagrees that discrimination against whites has gotten as bad as against blacks, economic situation is better than parents, doesn't bother her to hear immigrants speak a foreign language in a public place, and doesn't know someone who has struggled with addiction to opiods.
Doesn't sound like a typical MN-03 resident.

Also she lives in pretty much the North-east corner of the district, in the Coon Rapids area.
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nerd73
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« Reply #87 on: September 07, 2018, 08:10:09 PM »
Obviously Republicans like Paulsen in suburban seats were totally safe R!
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Coffein00
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« Reply #88 on: September 07, 2018, 08:11:40 PM »
Seems like they reached their goal for MN-3 for today: Getting one person on the phone. No call was made since then, still at 23
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #89 on: September 07, 2018, 08:12:57 PM »
I can volunteer to call so we can get some callers lol.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #90 on: September 07, 2018, 08:19:27 PM »
I know it's early in MN-03, but a 100 point lead sounds awfully hard to make up.
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Coffein00
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« Reply #91 on: September 07, 2018, 08:20:01 PM »
Second respondent in MN-3 is voting Dem.

Titanium Safe R --> TossUp
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #92 on: September 07, 2018, 08:21:54 PM »
STRAIGHT OUTTA WAUPACA bois!!
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Boobs
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« Reply #93 on: September 07, 2018, 08:25:32 PM »
Paulsen winning woke suburban white women, while Phillips is winning xenophobic pro-gun non-college educated white men.

The realignment is here, y'all.
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Florida Man for Crime
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« Reply #94 on: September 07, 2018, 08:26:16 PM »
It is a non-college educated white male Dem. I thought they were supposed to all be Republicans now!

He disagrees with the Republican lady on everything except agreeing with her that discrimination against whites is not as much of a problem as against blacks and also not being bothered by hearing immigrants speak a foreign language in public.

And he lives on the other side of the district in Bloomington (south-east).
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Xing
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« Reply #95 on: September 07, 2018, 08:35:10 PM »
Reading into crosstabs ironically in a poll with two responses so far is peak Atlas.
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Coffein00
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« Reply #96 on: September 07, 2018, 08:37:43 PM »
3rd resp. Toss-Up --> Likely Rep.

edit: 4th+5th resp. Likely Rep. --> Likely Dem.
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morgieb
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« Reply #97 on: September 07, 2018, 08:39:31 PM »
Know it's still early days, but Radinovich+9 has to be good news up there. Fortunately it's a wave year and we picked the right candidate for the seat.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #98 on: September 07, 2018, 08:40:22 PM »
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #99 on: September 07, 2018, 08:43:12 PM »



My mind model says Phillips gets a 100% favorable rating once everyone knows him
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