TN-SEN (NBC/Marist): Bredesen+2

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Tightening even more. Blackburn's got it. Bayh 2.0.

Yep, Blackburn by 8 seems right.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

This poll is great, since he is nearly at 50%, but the trend line for Bredesen is really bad, as it seems hes losing support as time goes on. I worry what will happen to this race by election day.

To state the obvious, Blackburn will probably win.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

This poll is great, since he is nearly at 50%, but the trend line for Bredesen is really bad, as it seems hes losing support as time goes on. I worry what will happen to this race by election day.

He will likely go Bayh Bayh.

Yeah, he should have run governor again (if he can idk TN's rule on non conseq stuff) and if not some state house or senate seat like Beth Harwell's.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Paging IceSpear

sup

Bredesen's downward trajectory has been much more gradual than I thought it would be so far, but there's plenty of time left to go.

And if he's really only up 2 points with a +39 favorable rating...it's probably lights out once Blackburn's attack ads start to bring that number back down to earth.

You’re utterly delusional. All she’s been doing is attacking Phil the entire campaign and it hasn’t worked, mainly because Bredesen keeps an optimistic message of bipartisanship.

"You're utterly delusional"
"Tennessee voters want an optimistic message of bipartisanship"

LMAO. You should probably ask yourself why a popular moderate former governor with a +39 favorable rating is in a statistical tie with a wingnut if Tennessee really wants "an optimistic message of bipartisanship."

Yeah, IceSpear has a point.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I cannot help but wonder whether this will be the race that will take days or even weeks to discover the winner.

It will be a clean and swift but underwhelming Marsha win.