TN-SEN (NBC/Marist): Bredesen+2

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I cannot help but wonder whether this will be the race that will take days or even weeks to discover the winner.

It will be a clean and swift but underwhelming Marsha win.

[Bidenworth2020]

Bredesen's message clearly has some appeal since he's doing much, much better than a Generic D would be doing.

But is that because he's running on bipartisanship, or is it because he's Phil Bredesen running in a good year for Democrats against a mediocre opponent?

Did Charlie Brown or Gordon Ball run on an optimistic message of bipartisanship in 2014? Probably nobody knows/cares, but I doubt it would make a difference what their message was or wasn't. They were always going to get completely demolished no matter what.

bruh, this was charlie brown-https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nfbFZNOsp-c

[Badger]

I just realized that this race is probably the inverse of Florida: Currently popular (former/current) governor running to flip a senate seat. Personal popularity of the challenger makes the race closer than expected, but after time the highly unfavorable (state/national) opposition to their party results in, still coming up a few to several points short in November, although tighter than it every should've been.

Some variances to be sure (e.g. Scott's less personally popular than Bredesen, but has oodles more money), but I suspect both Bredesen and Nelson's final losing results will be similar (with Bredesen having a greater outside chance of going similar routes as Evan Bayh and Ted Strickland, though likely not so disasterous).

[Antonio the Sixth]

I just realized that this race is probably the inverse of Florida: Currently popular (former/current) governor running to flip a senate seat. Personal popularity of the challenger makes the race closer than expected, but after time the highly unfavorable (state/national) opposition to their party results in, still coming up a few to several points short in November, although tighter than it every should've been.

Some variances to be sure (e.g. Scott's less personally popular than Bredesen, but has oodles more money), but I suspect both Bredesen and Nelson's final losing results will be similar (with Bredesen having a greater outside chance of going similar routes as Evan Bayh and Ted Strickland, though likely not so disasterous).

Blackburn and Nelson will both probably win.

[Politician]

Bredesen, without Clayton blacks, probably loses to M Blackburn

[IceSpear]

Paging IceSpear

sup

Bredesen's downward trajectory has been much more gradual than I thought it would be so far, but there's plenty of time left to go.

And if he's really only up 2 points with a +39 favorable rating...it's probably lights out once Blackburn's attack ads start to bring that number back down to earth.

You’re utterly delusional. All she’s been doing is attacking Phil the entire campaign and it hasn’t worked, mainly because Bredesen keeps an optimistic message of bipartisanship.

LMAO

This entire thread is hilarious. Phil Bredesen is delighted he won the September election!

[IceSpear]

Tightening even more. Blackburn's got it. Bayh 2.0.

She's clearly gonna win by 10

I like how this post was sarcastic, but she actually ended up winning by more than 10, lol.

[History505]

Tightening even more. Blackburn's got it. Bayh 2.0.

She's clearly gonna win by 10

I like how this post was sarcastic, but she actually ended up winning by more than 10, lol.

I don't even know if it actually was sarcastic lol.

[IceSpear]

Tightening even more. Blackburn's got it. Bayh 2.0.

She's clearly gonna win by 10

I like how this post was sarcastic, but she actually ended up winning by more than 10, lol.

I don't even know if it actually was sarcastic lol.

He said it was.

[Doimper]

It is very strange how IceSpear feels compelled to bump multiple threads with variations on "HAHAHA I WAS SO RIGHT", and yet expressed surprise and gratitude when most people didn't do the same to him after Alabama

[IceSpear]

It is very strange how IceSpear feels compelled to bump multiple threads with variations on "HAHAHA I WAS SO RIGHT", and yet expressed surprise and gratitude when most people didn't do the same to him after Alabama

Uh, people still use Alabama against me to this day, lol. And that election was a year ago, not 3 weeks ago.